Illinois State vs. North Dakota prediction favors North Dakota to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Illinois State vs. North Dakota, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives North Dakota a 68.6% chance of beating Illinois State. Our predicted final score has North Dakota winning 29-23. According to our model, Illinois State (+7.5) has a 55.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 53.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Illinois State +7.5 (-121) / North Dakota -7.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Illinois State +220, North Dakota -221
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-113/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Illinois State +7.5 @ -121 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Illinois State @ +220 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -113 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois State +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between North Dakota and Illinois State at Alerus Center is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Illinois State vs. North Dakota
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00 AM PT
• Venue: Alerus Center

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Conclusion

We predict North Dakota, with a 68.6% win probability, will likely beat Illinois State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.