Buffalo vs. Ball State prediction favors Buffalo to win Week 11 MACtion clash

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Buffalo vs. Ball State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Buffalo a 51.1% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Buffalo winning 26-25. According to our model, Ball State (+1.5) has a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 51.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Buffalo -1.5 (+102) / Ball State +1.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Buffalo -108, Ball State +106
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (+108/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Ball State +1.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Ball State @ 48¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 51.5 @ 48¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 51.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's college football game between Ball State and Buffalo at Scheumann Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo vs. Ball State
• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Scheumann Stadium

College football Week 11 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Buffalo vs. Ball State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Buffalo, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat Ball State in Wednesday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.