FSU vs. Pittsburgh prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of FSU vs. Pittsburgh, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Pittsburgh a 61.5% chance of defeating Florida State. Our predicted final score has Pittsburgh winning 28-24. According to our model, Pittsburgh (-3.5) has a 50.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 53.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: FSU +3.5 (-102) / Pittsburgh -3.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: FSU +150, Pittsburgh -156
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-108/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Pittsburgh -3.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Pittsburgh @ 61¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 51.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 51.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's college football action between Pittsburgh and FSU at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

College football Week 11 promos

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Conclusion

We predict Pittsburgh, with a 61.5% win probability, will likely beat Florida State in Friday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.