As the 2025 Truist Championship begins at Philadelphia Cricket Club, bettors now have a complete view of the final win probabilities and BetMGM odds. With no 36-hole cut and a $20 million purse on the line, this Signature Event sets up as a critical tune-up for next week’s PGA Championship—and one of the best betting opportunities of the season.
Dimers.com has run
10,000 tournament simulations, producing win probabilities that give a sharper lens into which players offer true value. When paired with the
latest BetMGM bonus code offer, the data provides a clear picture of the best bets to consider ahead of Thursday’s first round.
Final Truist Championship 2025 Win Probabilities and BetMGM Odds
Below is a table featuring the latest odds and probabilities for the key players in the Truist Championship 2025. To unlock the rest of the probabilities for this week's action, both right now and after each round,
sign up to Dimers Pro.
| Player |
Win Probability |
BetMGM
Odds |
| Rory McIlroy |
11.3% |
+450 |
| Collin Morikawa |
7.0% |
+1400 |
| Justin Thomas |
5.5% |
+1600 |
| Russell Henley |
4.2% |
+2800 |
| Xander Schauffele |
4.0% |
+1600 |
| 🔒 |
3.9% |
+2500 |
| 🔒 |
3.2% |
+3300 |
| 🔒 |
3.1% |
+1800 |
| 🔒 |
2.8% |
+3000 |
| 🔒 |
2.6% |
+3300 |
| 🔒 |
2.6% |
+3300 |
| 🔒 |
2.5% |
+2500 |
| 🔒 |
2.3% |
+15000 |
| 🔒 |
2.2% |
+3300 |
| 🔒 |
2.0% |
+1800 |
Useful Links for the Truist Championship
Conclusion
With Rory McIlroy entering as both the betting favorite and simulation frontrunner, the stage is set for an exciting week at Philadelphia Cricket Club. Still, with 14 other players holding at least a 2% chance to win based on simulations—and several carrying much longer odds—there’s ample room to find value in the market.
Use BetMGM bonus code
DIMERS150
to turn a $10 win into $150 in bonus bets, and follow Dimers.com throughout the Truist Championship for daily updates, round-by-round predictions, and
head-to-head matchup picks.
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