The Michigan Wolverines head to East Lansing for a rivalry matchup with the Michigan State Spartans under the lights at Spartan Stadium. As one of the premier games on Saturday’s slate, Bet365 bettors have turned their attention to Justice Haynes, who’s listed at
in this Big Ten battle.
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Bet365 Justice Haynes First TD Scorer (+300)
Michigan’s running back
Justice Haynes
has emerged as a key red-zone weapon, making him a popular play in Bet365’s
First Touchdown Scorer
market at
+300 odds.
Dimers’ predictive model gives Haynes roughly a
20.8% probability
to score the opening touchdown of the game, reflecting his heavy involvement on Michigan’s opening drives and short-yardage packages.
A
$10 wager would return $40 total
if Haynes scores first in tonight’s in-state rivalry.
Odds accurate at the time of publication and subject to change.
Game Details: Michigan Vs. Michigan State
- Teams:
Michigan vs. Michigan State
- Date:
Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Kickoff:
7:30 p.m. ET
- Location:
Spartan Stadium
- Spread:
Michigan -14 (-110) | Michigan State +14 (-108)
- Moneyline:
Michigan -550 | Michigan State +440
- Total:
Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sportsbooks at the time of publication.
Expert Prediction: Michigan Vs. Michigan State
Dimers’ 10,000-game simulation model projects
Michigan to win 85% of the time, continuing its dominance in the rivalry. The model also suggests that
Michigan State (+14)
has a
52% chance to cover, while the
Over 47.5
points total has a
54% chance of hitting
— a sign that both offenses could generate scoring drives.
For bettors targeting player props, Haynes’ early-down usage makes him one of the best touchdown candidates on the Michigan side, particularly against a Spartans defense that’s struggled to contain strong rushing attacks.
Michigan Vs. Michigan State Best Bet
Dimers’ top overall pick for the matchup is
Over 47.5 total points (-110), but the
market at Bet365 offers additional upside for prop bettors.
Given Michigan’s tendency to establish the run early, Haynes’ scoring opportunities make this prop one of the most appealing player bets for Saturday’s primetime game.
Score Prediction for Michigan Vs. Michigan State
Projected final score:
Michigan 29, Michigan State 16.
This simulated outcome aligns with an early Michigan touchdown, potentially from Haynes, who’s been the preferred option in the red zone over the past several weeks.
Player props are a fun way to get involved in tonight’s game without picking a winner. Below are Dimers’ most likely touchdown scorers and projected statistical leaders for each team.
Michigan
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Justice Haynes – 20.8%
- Donovan Edwards – 13.2%
- Tyler Morris – 9.3%
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Justice Haynes – 65.7%
- Donovan Edwards – 51.3%
- Tyler Morris – 36.1%
Projected Box Score Leaders
- QB Passing Yards: J.J. McCarthy – 235 yards
- Receiving Yards: Tyler Morris – 58 yards
- Rushing Yards: Justice Haynes – 78 yards
Michigan State
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Nate Carter – 12.4%
- Montorie Foster Jr. – 8.6%
- Jaron Glover – 6.2%
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Nate Carter – 47.2%
- Montorie Foster Jr. – 34.0%
- Jaron Glover – 29.8%
Projected Box Score Leaders
- QB Passing Yards: Aidan Chiles – 204 yards
- Receiving Yards: Montorie Foster Jr. – 55 yards
- Rushing Yards: Nate Carter – 63 yards
Kickoff for tonight’s
Michigan vs. Michigan State
game is set for
7:30 p.m. ET
at
Spartan Stadium. All projections and probabilities come from
10,000 data-driven simulations
by Dimers.com and are accurate at the time of publication.
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