Jets vs. Patriots TNF: Bet365 TreVeyon Henderson First TD Scorer Bet (+300)

Thursday Night Football heads to Gillette Stadium as the New York Jets take on the New England Patriots in a Week 11 divisional matchup. With New England favored heavily, Bet365 has spotlighted one of the league’s most promising young running backs in its touchdown markets — TreVeyon Henderson — offering +300 odds for him to score the game’s first touchdown.

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Bet365 Player Prop: TreVeyon Henderson First Touchdown Scorer (+300)

The rookie running back has been a red-zone focal point for the Patriots, finding the end zone twice in his last three appearances. New England’s offensive script often starts with establishing the ground game — particularly at home — making Henderson’s first touchdown prop at +300 one of the more appealing value plays on the Bet365 board this week.

Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Game Details: Jets vs. Patriots

• Teams: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. EST
• Location: Gillette Stadium
• Spread: Jets +12.5 (-105) | Patriots -12.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Jets +610 | Patriots -800
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-102/-115)

The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sportsbooks at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Jets vs. Patriots

According to Dimers, which simulated Thursday’s matchup 10,000 times, the Patriots have an 86% chance of winning at home. New England’s defense has been dominant in recent weeks, and Dimers’ projections expect them to dictate the tempo early through a run-heavy approach.

The model also gives the Jets (+12.5) a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point total carries a 54% chance of staying under, suggesting a controlled, defensive game — one that aligns with a first-quarter touchdown from a power runner like Henderson.

Jets vs. Patriots Best Bet

Dimers’ top betting pick for the game is Jets +12.5 (-105), with New York’s defense projected to keep things closer than expected.

However, for bettors seeking a higher-value play, Bet365’s TreVeyon Henderson First TD Scorer (+300) offers a strong standalone angle. With the Patriots projected to control the early pace, Henderson has a realistic opportunity to hit paydirt on the team’s opening drive.

Score Prediction for Jets vs. Patriots

Projected Final Score: Patriots 26, Jets 15

Dimers’ simulations suggest the Patriots will win comfortably but without offensive fireworks — a 26-15 outcome that fits the under trend and highlights value in first-touchdown markets.

NFL Player Props: Thursday

New York Jets

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Breece Hall: 6.0% probability
• Justin Fields: 5.6% probability
• Mason Taylor: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Predictions

• Breece Hall: 29.8% probability
• Justin Fields: 28.3% probability
• Mason Taylor: 20.3% probability

Projected Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Justin Fields, 179 yards
• Receiving Yards: Mason Taylor, 37 yards
• Rushing Yards: Breece Hall, 68 yards

New England Patriots

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Stefon Diggs: 8.7% probability
• TreVeyon Henderson: 8.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Predictions

• Stefon Diggs: 36.5% probability
• TreVeyon Henderson: 35.9% probability

Projected Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Drake Maye, 240 yards
• Receiving Yards: Stefon Diggs, 60 yards
• Rushing Yards: TreVeyon Henderson, 41 yards

NFL Week 11: Jets vs. Patriots

Get ready for Thursday Night Football between the New York Jets and New England Patriots in Week 11 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. EST.

All predictions and best bets in this article are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations conducted by Dimers and are accurate as of the time of publication to help bettors make smarter decisions.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Ryan Leaver as part of our fact-checking process.