The
Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves will battle in Game 3
of their first-round playoff series on Friday, April 25, 2025, at 9:30PM ET. The series is tied 1-1 after the Lakers rebounded in Game 2, setting the stage for a pivotal clash at Target Center.
After re-running 10,000 simulations using updated rosters and injury reports, our analysts have identified a clear edge in the betting markets for Game 3.
The Best Bet for Game 3: Timberwolves Moneyline
With BetMGM offering the Timberwolves moneyline at
, and simulations giving Minnesota a
62.2% win probability, the data reveals a
2.2% edge—making this the top value pick for Friday’s game.
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Adjusted Lakers vs. Timberwolves NBA Predictions
Here’s what our updated model is projecting after 10,000 simulations:
- Win Probabilities:
Timberwolves 62.2% | Lakers 37.8%
- Predicted Final Score:
Timberwolves 105, Lakers 102
- Spread Lean (-3.5):
Timberwolves 52%, Lakers 48%
- Total Points (O/U 206.5):
Over 52%, Under 48%
These predictions were last updated as of 7:22AM ET and reflect the most current data available ahead of Game 3.
Projected Player Box Scores
The simulation also offers a glimpse into standout individual performances:
- Lakers:
Luka Doncic – 31 PTS, 9 REB, 8 AST
- Timberwolves:
Anthony Edwards – 28 PTS, 6 REB, 5 AST
These projections help shape not only full-game bets but also player prop strategies for Friday night, with the full Lakers-Wolves prop picks available to
users.
Game 3 Key Details
- Matchup:
Los Angeles Lakers @ Minnesota Timberwolves
- Series:
Tied 1-1
- Date:
Friday, April 25, 2025
- Time:
9:30PM ET
- Location:
Target Center, Minneapolis
Conclusion
With the series tied and momentum hanging in the balance, Friday’s Game 3 between the Timberwolves and Lakers is projected to tilt in Minnesota’s favor. Based on 10,000 simulations, the
best bet
is backing the
Timberwolves moneyline at
, which carries a
62.2% win probability
and a
2.2% edge
against the odds.
These insights are powered by our real-time simulation engine and supported by the latest roster data. As always, bet responsibly and check back for updates as our
NBA Playoffs predictions
continue through April 2025.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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