Sharks vs. Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sharks | 1 | 1 | ||
Senators | 1 | 1 |
- Sharks
- Senators
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sharks | 1 | 1 | ||
Senators | 1 | 1 |
- Sharks won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
- SHOTShot missed by Hayden Hodgson
- Stoppage - Icing
- SHOTShot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
- SHOTShot missed by Kiefer Sherwood
- SHOTShot on goal by Nolan Allan saved by Samuel Ersson
- SHOTShot on goal by Kiefer Sherwood saved by Samuel Ersson
- Stoppage - Puck in Benches
- Shane Pinto won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
- Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
- SHOTShot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Yaroslav Askarov
- Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Collin Graf in offensive zone
- Stoppage - Puck in Netting
- Ty Dellandrea credited with hit on Carter Yakemchuk in offensive zone
- Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
- Stoppage - Icing
- Stoppage - Icing
- Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
- GOALGoal scored by Nolan Allan1-1
- SHOTShot on goal by Igor Chernyshov saved by Samuel Ersson
- SHOTShot missed by Claude Giroux
- Michael Misa won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
- Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
- Sharks won faceoff against Senators in defensive zone
- GOALGoal scored by Carter Yakemchuk assisted by Stephen Halliday and Hayden Hodgson0-2
- SHOTShot missed by Igor Chernyshov
- SHOTMichael Amadio shot blocked by Nolan Allan
- Michael Amadio credited with hit on Nolan Allan in offensive zone
- Ridly Greig won faceoff against Will Smith in neutral zone
- Stoppage - TV timeout
- SHOTShot missed by Sam Dickinson
- Stoppage - Icing
- GOALGoal scored by Tim Stutzle0-1
- SHOTShot missed by Nolan Allan
- SHOTShot missed by Collin Graf
- Collin Graf won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
- Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
- SHOTShot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Yaroslav Askarov
- SHOTShot missed by Dmitry Orlov
- SHOTShot missed by Tyler Toffoli
- Collin Graf won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
- Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
- Warren Foegele credited with hit on Michael Kesselring in offensive zone
- Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Michael Misa in defensive zone
- SHOTShot missed by Michael Misa
- Michael Misa won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
- SHOTShot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Samuel Ersson
- SHOTShot missed by Igor Chernyshov
- Sharks won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
- SHOTShot on goal by Ty Dellandrea saved by Samuel Ersson
- Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
| STATS | |
|---|
| 10 | Shots on Goal | 6 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 0/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 0/0 | |||
| 0 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 0 | |||
| 8 | Hits | 6 | |||
| 2 | Shots Blocked | 2 | |||
| 5 | Giveaways | 6 |
| |
|---|
| 10 | Shots on Goal | 6 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 0/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 0/0 | |||
| 0 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 0 | |||
| 8 | Hits | 6 | |||
| 2 | Shots Blocked | 2 | |||
| 5 | Giveaways | 6 |
Sharks vs. Senators prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: San Jose Sharks vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Sharks (+1.5, -199), Senators (-1.5, +194)
- Moneyline: Sharks +120, Senators -122
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+104/-108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Sharks: 40.9%
- Senators: 59.1%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Sharks vs. Senators player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Macklin Celebrini, Sharks: 38.7%
- Will Smith, Sharks: 28.3%
- Tim Stutzle, Senators: 42.1%
- Drake Batherson, Senators: 38.1%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 40.9%, while the Senators have a win probability of 59.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
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