Kings vs. Islanders prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 22, 2026

The New York Islanders are favored to beat the Los Angeles Kings on Thursday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Kings vs. Islanders prediction gives New York a 50.9% chance of winning at UBS Arena, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Islanders to win.

Kings vs. Islanders: Key predictions

• Islanders win probability: 50.9%
• Kings win probability: 49.1%
• Islanders +1.5 puck line: 72.4% cover probability
• Under 5.5 goals: 50.8% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Kings vs. Islanders odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Kings moneyline: 51¢ (Novig)
• Islanders moneyline: 50¢ (Novig)
• Kings -1.5: +235 (BetRivers)
• Islanders +1.5: -270 (bet365)
• Over 5.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Islanders moneyline (50¢)

With New York favored to beat Los Angeles, Dimers' top value bet is the Islanders moneyline at 50¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Islanders have a 49.5% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 50.9%.

That's a 1.4% edge in the Islanders' favor, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Kings vs. Islanders goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Bo Horvat of the Islanders leads Thursday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 36.9%, followed by Los Angeles's Adrian Kempe (32.9%). Horvat also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 7.5%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Bo Horvat (Islanders): 36.9%
• Adrian Kempe (Kings): 32.9%
• Artemi Panarin (Kings): 32.3%
• Matthew Schaefer (Islanders): 24.3%
• Simon Holmstrom (Islanders): 22.8%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Bo Horvat (Islanders): 7.5%
• Artemi Panarin (Kings): 7.4%
• Adrian Kempe (Kings): 7.0%
• Matthew Schaefer (Islanders): 5.4%
• Simon Holmstrom (Islanders): 4.6%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Kings vs. Islanders predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Thursday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Kings vs. Islanders predictions.

Kings vs. Islanders game details

• Matchup: Los Angeles Kings vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: UBS Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.