Jets vs. Stars prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 22, 2026

The Dallas Stars are favored to beat the Winnipeg Jets on Thursday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Jets vs. Stars prediction gives Dallas a 62.4% chance of winning at American Airlines Center, but the latest odds suggest the Jets may offer better betting value despite being the underdog.

Jets vs. Stars: Key predictions

• Stars win probability: 62.4%
• Jets win probability: 37.6%
• Jets +1.5 puck line: 61.3% cover probability
• Over 5.5 goals: 51.0% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Jets vs. Stars odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Jets moneyline: 36¢ (Novig)
• Stars moneyline: 65¢ (Novig)
• Jets +1.5: 60¢ (Novig)
• Stars -1.5: 41¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Jets moneyline (36¢)

The Stars may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is the Jets moneyline at 36¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Jets have a 35.5% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 37.6%.

That's a 2.1% edge in the Jets' favor, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Jets vs. Stars goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Kyle Connor of the Jets leads Thursday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 40.0%, followed by Dallas's Jason Robertson (38.6%). Connor and Robertson share the highest first goal-scorer probability at 8.6% each.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Kyle Connor (Jets): 40.0%
• Jason Robertson (Stars): 38.6%
• Wyatt Johnston (Stars): 37.9%
• Mikko Rantanen (Stars): 32.1%
• Mark Scheifele (Jets): 32.0%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Kyle Connor (Jets): 8.6%
• Jason Robertson (Stars): 8.6%
• Wyatt Johnston (Stars): 7.7%
• Mark Scheifele (Jets): 6.7%
• Mikko Rantanen (Stars): 6.2%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Jets vs. Stars predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Thursday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Jets vs. Stars predictions.

Jets vs. Stars game details

• Matchup: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
• Puck drop: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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