Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | |||
| S. Castle | |||
| D. Fox | |||
| D. Harper | |||
| D. Vassell |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Marshall | |||
| K. Irving | |||
| Z. Risacher | |||
| P. Washington | |||
| M. Christie |
Spurs vs. Mavericks prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Saturday
- Teams: San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5, +100), Mavericks (+11.5, -106)
- Moneyline: Spurs -426, Mavericks +426
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points (-108/+100)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Spurs: 80.5%
- Mavericks: 19.5%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Spurs 119 and Mavericks 109.
This is a margin of 10 points against a spread of 11.5, and a projected total of 228 points against a market line of 230.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 80.5%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 19.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Spurs vs. Mavericks, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.
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