Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Spurs vs. Mavericks prediction for Saturday, October 24, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
NBA
NBA sport icon
NBA
Spurs
Predicted score
121
:
109
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Mavericks +11.5
Spread
  • Spurs
    43.2%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Mavericks
    56.8%
    BetRiversBetRivers
Projected Box Score
Spurs
Player PtsRebAst
V. Wembanyama
S. Castle
D. Fox
D. Harper
D. Vassell
Mavericks
Player PtsRebAst
N. Marshall
K. Irving
Z. Risacher
P. Washington
M. Christie

Spurs vs. Mavericks prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Saturday

  • Teams: San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
  • Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
  • Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Spurs (-11.5, +100), Mavericks (+11.5, -106)
  • Moneyline: Spurs -426, Mavericks +426
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points (-108/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Spurs: 80.5%
  • Mavericks: 19.5%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Spurs 119 and Mavericks 109.

This is a margin of 10 points against a spread of 11.5, and a projected total of 228 points against a market line of 230.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 80.5%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 19.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Spurs vs. Mavericks, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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