Spurs vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Spurs vs. Jazz prediction for Sunday, November 15, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
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LIVE
2nd 6:34
NBA
Updating LIVE
LIVE
2nd 6:34
Updating LIVE
NBA sport icon
NBA
Spurs
45
:
47
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
TEAM1234T
Spurs
31 12 0 0 45
Jazz
33 14 0 0 47
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    82%
  • Jazz
    18%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
31 12 0 0 45
Jazz
33 14 0 0 47
Q2 6:34 Spurs makes two point putback layup
Q2 6:36 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:41 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:56 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:13 Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:35 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:45 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q2 7:51 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:05 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q2 8:21 Ace Bailey makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. Q2 6:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point putback layup
    45-47
  2. Q2 6:36
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  3. Q2 6:36
    Spurs offensive rebound
  4. Q2 6:41
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  5. Q2 6:41
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  6. Q2 6:48
    Jazz personal foul
  7. Q2 6:48
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Josh Green, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Tony Bradley)
  8. Q2 6:48
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  9. Q2 6:56
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  10. Q2 6:56
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  11. Q2 7:13
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  12. Q2 7:13
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  13. Q2 7:35
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  14. Q2 7:35
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  15. Q2 7:45
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    43-47
  16. Q2 7:51
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  17. Q2 7:51
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  18. Q2 8:05
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    41-47
  19. Q2 8:21
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point jump shot
    38-47
  20. Q2 8:38
    Stoppage (Other)
  21. Q2 8:40
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  22. Q2 8:40
    Jazz defensive rebound
  23. Q2 8:59
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  24. Q2 8:59
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Darryn Peterson, Mo Bamba, Josh Green, Ace Bailey)
  25. Q2 9:02
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    38-45
  26. Q2 9:14
    Spurs turnover
  27. Q2 9:14
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Darryn Peterson, Brice Sensabaugh, Mo Bamba, Josh Green)
  28. Q2 9:14
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
  29. Q2 9:28
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    38-42
  30. Q2 9:33
    Spurs turnover
  31. Q2 9:45
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    38-40
  32. Q2 10:01
    +3
    Victor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot
    38-38
  33. Q2 10:11
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  34. Q2 10:11
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  35. Q2 10:36
    Jazz personal foul
  36. Q2 10:36
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    34-38
  37. Q2 10:36
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    35-38
  38. Q2 10:36
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  39. Q2 10:36
    Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
  40. Q2 10:59
    +2
    Jazz makes two point putback layup
    33-38
  41. Q2 11:02
    Spurs personal foul
  42. Q2 11:02
    Mo Bamba misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  43. Q2 11:02
    Jazz offensive rebound
  44. Q2 11:02
    Mo Bamba misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  45. Q2 11:02
    Darryn Peterson offensive rebound
  46. Q2 11:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    33-36
  47. Q2 11:41
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    31-36
  48. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  49. Q2 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Darryn Peterson, Brice Sensabaugh, Mo Bamba, Josh Okogie)
  50. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson)
  51. Q2 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Darryn Peterson, Brice Sensabaugh, Mo Bamba, Josh Okogie)
  52. Q1 00:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  53. Q1 00:02
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  54. Q1 00:25
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  55. Q1 00:25
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  56. Q1 00:40
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    31-33
  57. Q1 00:47
    Jazz turnover
  58. Q1 00:58
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-33
  59. Q1 1:06
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  60. Q1 1:06
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  61. Q1 1:16
    Spurs personal foul
  62. Q1 1:16
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson)
  63. Q1 1:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    25-33
  64. Q1 1:45
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    23-33
  65. Q1 2:00
    Spurs turnover
  66. Q1 2:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
  67. Q1 2:00
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Brice Sensabaugh, Mo Bamba, Keyonte George, Josh Okogie)
  68. Q1 2:10
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    23-30
  69. Q1 2:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    23-28
  70. Q1 2:30
    Jazz turnover
  71. Q1 2:36
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  72. Q1 2:36
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  73. Q1 2:54
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    21-28
  74. Q1 3:10
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    21-25
  75. Q1 3:30
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    18-25
  76. Q1 3:43
    Spurs turnover
  77. Q1 3:54
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  78. Q1 3:54
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Josh Okogie, Tony Bradley)
  79. Q1 3:56
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    18-22
  80. Q1 4:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  81. Q1 4:15
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  82. Q1 4:28
    +2
    Jazz makes two point putback layup
    18-20
  83. Q1 4:30
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  84. Q1 4:30
    Jazz offensive rebound
  85. Q1 4:36
    Stoppage (Other)
  86. Q1 4:52
    Jazz personal foul
  87. Q1 4:52
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    17-18
  88. Q1 4:52
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
  89. Q1 4:52
    Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Darryn Peterson, Brice Sensabaugh, Josh Okogie, Tony Bradley)
  90. Q1 4:52
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-18
  91. Q1 5:00
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    16-18
  92. Q1 5:27
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    16-16
  93. Q1 5:43
    Jazz turnover
  94. Q1 5:48
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  95. Q1 5:48
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  96. Q1 5:54
    Josh Green personal foul
  97. Q1 5:54
    Jazz lineup change (Darryn Peterson, Brice Sensabaugh, Ace Bailey, Josh Okogie, Tony Bradley)
  98. Q1 5:54
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Jordan McLaughlin, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
  99. Q1 6:05
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  100. Q1 6:05
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  101. Q1 6:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  102. Q1 6:12
    Mo Bamba defensive rebound
  103. Q1 6:12
    Devin Vassell turnover (bad pass)
  104. Q1 6:23
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  105. Q1 6:23
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  106. Q1 6:37
    Spurs violation
  107. Q1 6:37
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
  108. Q1 6:50
    +2
    Jordan McLaughlin makes two point jump shot
    14-16
  109. Q1 6:57
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    12-16
  110. Q1 6:57
    Spurs personal foul
  111. Q1 6:57
    Mo Bamba misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  112. Q1 6:57
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  113. Q1 7:20
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    11-14
  114. Q1 7:20
    Jazz personal foul
  115. Q1 7:20
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    12-14
  116. Q1 7:20
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Jordan McLaughlin, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell)
  117. Q1 7:33
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    8-14
  118. Q1 7:40
    Dylan Harper turnover (lost ball)
  119. Q1 7:41
    Jump ball. (Mo Bamba gains possession)
  120. Q1 7:41
    Dylan Harper turnover (lost ball)
  121. Q1 7:42
    Dylan Harper turnover (lost ball)
  122. Q1 7:59
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    8-11
  123. Q1 8:10
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  124. Q1 8:10
    Mo Bamba defensive rebound
  125. Q1 8:16
    Stoppage (Other)
  126. Q1 8:24
    Josh Green misses two point jump shot
  127. Q1 8:24
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  128. Q1 8:29
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  129. Q1 8:29
    Mo Bamba offensive rebound
  130. Q1 8:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    8-8
  131. Q1 8:56
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    6-8
  132. Q1 9:08
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  133. Q1 9:09
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    6-5
  134. Q1 9:15
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  135. Q1 9:15
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  136. Q1 9:32
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  137. Q1 9:32
    Josh Green defensive rebound
  138. Q1 9:37
    Jazz turnover
  139. Q1 9:48
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  140. Q1 9:48
    Darryn Peterson defensive rebound
  141. Q1 10:01
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  142. Q1 10:01
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  143. Q1 10:23
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  144. Q1 10:23
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  145. Q1 10:34
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    4-5
  146. Q1 10:55
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    4-3
  147. Q1 11:03
    Darryn Peterson misses two point jump shot
  148. Q1 11:03
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  149. Q1 11:18
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  150. Q1 11:18
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  151. Q1 11:32
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    2-3
  152. Q1 11:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point tip layup
    2-0
  153. Q1 11:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  154. Q1 11:47
    Spurs offensive rebound
  155. Q1 12:00
    Victor Wembanyama vs. Mo Bamba (Devin Vassell gains possession)

Spurs vs. Jazz prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Sunday

  • Teams: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Tip-off: 5:00PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Spurs (-14.5, -104), Jazz (+14.5, +102)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points (+100/+102)
  • Moneyline: Spurs -852, Jazz +809

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Spurs: 85.8%
  • Jazz: 14.2%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Spurs 118 and Jazz 105.

This is a margin of 13 points against a spread of 14.5, and a projected total of 223 points against a market line of 223.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 85.8%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 14.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Sunday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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