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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 6 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Raptors vs. Cavaliers NBA game on May 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
102
114
May 3, 11:30 PM Rocket Arena
May 3, 11:30 PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 26 | 23 | 19 | 34 | 102 |
Cavaliers | 24 | 25 | 38 | 27 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 26 | 23 | 19 | 34 | 102 |
Cavaliers | 24 | 25 | 38 | 27 | 114 |
Q4 00:25 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:08 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:31 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Cavaliers turnover
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
103-114
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jonathan Mogbo, A.J. Lawson, Gradey Dick, Garrett Temple)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Instant replay
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes technical free throw 1 of 2
99-114
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-114
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-114
Donovan Mitchell technical foul (Double)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Raptors turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
98-114
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
98-112
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
98-109
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
96-109
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
96-107
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-107
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
93-106
Raptors personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
91-104
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
91-105
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
91-106
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
91-103
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-103
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-103
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
86-103
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
86-101
Jump ball. Donovan Mitchell (Jamal Shead gains possession)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
84-101
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
84-99
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
82-99
Raptors personal foul
Cavaliers offensive rebound
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-99
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jamal Shead offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jamal Shead defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-98
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
80-97
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
78-97
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
78-95
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-95
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, James Harden)
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
76-94
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamison Battle defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
74-94
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, James Harden)
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
72-94
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
72-91
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
70-91
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
70-89
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
68-89
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamison Battle)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
68-87
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-85
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
67-84
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 1 of 1
68-84
Raptors personal foul
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-84
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
65-83
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-81
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Raptors misses two point jump shot
A.J. Lawson offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-79
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-80
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
65-78
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
65-76
Cavaliers personal foul
Instant replay
Instant replay
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell)
Raptors lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-76
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-76
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
61-76
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Raptors turnover
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-74
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-74
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
59-74
Raptors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
59-72
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
59-69
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
59-67
Cavaliers personal foul
Ja'Kobe Walter misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
57-67
James Harden defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Instant replay
Raptors 60 second timeout
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-65
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
57-64
Raptors turnover
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
57-62
Raptors personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-61
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, James Harden)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-62
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
54-60
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade, James Harden)
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-60
Cavaliers personal foul
Instant replay
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers violation
Cavaliers personal foul
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-60
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-60
Raptors offensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
50-60
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
Jakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-58
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
49-58
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
49-56
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Raptors turnover
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
49-54
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
49-51
Raptors personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
49-49
Raptors personal foul
Scottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
49-46
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Max Strus turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
49-43
Raptors personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-42
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-43
Raptors turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
47-41
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
47-38
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
45-40
Cavaliers turnover
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-38
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-38
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
43-38
Raptors violation
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Raptors offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden)
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
43-36
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden)
Raptors personal foul
Instant replay
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-34
+1
Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-34
Cavaliers personal foul
James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
41-34
James Harden defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jamal Shead offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
41-31
Cavaliers personal foul
Jamal Shead misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
39-31
Raptors turnover
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, James Harden)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
39-29
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
36-29
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
34-29
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
34-27
Cavaliers turnover
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
32-27
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
31-24
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-24
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Donovan Mitchell turnover
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
29-24
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Evan Mobley turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Jamal Shead)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
Raptors personal foul
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-23
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, A.J. Lawson, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, Evan Mobley)
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-24
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
26-22
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
24-22
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
24-19
Cavaliers turnover
Raptors personal foul
Scottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Sam Merrill offensive rebound
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
22-19
Max Strus defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-16
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-17
Raptors personal foul
Sandro Mamukelashvili turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers personal foul
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
22-15
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
22-12
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle)
Cavaliers turnover
James Harden defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
20-12
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
20-10
Jamison Battle defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
18-10
Raptors personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-9
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-10
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade, James Harden)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
16-8
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-7
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamison Battle, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-8
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
13-6
Raptors personal foul
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-6
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
11-5
Raptors personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-5
Raptors turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-4
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
8-2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
5-2
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
4-0
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-0
Cavaliers turnover
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
2-0
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Start of 1st Quarter
Cavaliers lineup change (Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Ja'Kobe Walter)
(Jamal Shead gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Raptors vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 209.5
- Moneyline Odds: Raptors +292, Cavaliers -288
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Raptors: 26%
- Cavaliers: 74%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Raptors 101-109 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Raptors a win probability of 26%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Raptors vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
