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Bucks vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Pelicans NBA game on February 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
139
118
Feb 21, 1AM Smoothie King Center
Feb 21, 1AM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 33 | 38 | 32 | 36 | 139 |
Pelicans | 38 | 27 | 31 | 22 | 118 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 33 | 38 | 32 | 36 | 139 |
Pelicans | 38 | 27 | 31 | 22 | 118 |
Q4 00:32 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Bucks makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Gary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Gary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Bryce McGowens makes two point layup
Q4 3:20 Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:38 Karlo Matkovic makes two point alley-oop dunk (Herbert Jones assists)
Q4 4:51 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Bucks turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
139-118
Ousmane Dieng turnover (Bryce McGowens steals)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
139-116
Herbert Jones personal foul
+1
Thanasis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
138-114
+1
Thanasis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-114
Thanasis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
138-114
Karlo Matkovic turnover (Andre Jackson Jr. steals)
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Gary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
138-114
Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
+3
Gary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot
138-114
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Andre Jackson Jr., Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng)
+2
Bryce McGowens makes two point layup
122-106
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
122-106
Bryce McGowens shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
139-118
Kevin Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
122-106
Herbert Jones turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Karlo Matkovic makes two point alley-oop dunk (Herbert Jones assists)
122-106
Bryce McGowens shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
138-114
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
139-118
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Pete Nance, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Bryce McGowens)
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point stepback jump shot
Bobby Portis shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
139-118
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic blocks Ousmane Dieng's two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Bryce McGowens misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
139-118
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Bryce McGowens)
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
139-118
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
+3
Pete Nance makes three point jump shot (Ousmane Dieng assists)
122-106
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
+2
Ousmane Dieng makes two point stepback jump shot
139-118
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point driving layup (Zion Williamson assists)
139-118
+2
Pete Nance makes two point jump shot
139-118
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pete Nance shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, Kevin Porter Jr.)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, Kevin Porter Jr.)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-106
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
139-118
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans delay of game violation
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
139-118
Bucks turnover
Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
+2
Cam Thomas makes two point driving layup
139-118
Bobby Portis blocks Jordan Poole's two point jump shot
Herbert Jones shooting foul (Cam Thomas draws the foul)
Bucks offensive rebound
Cam Thomas misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
Derik Queen turnover
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
103-98
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point jump shot
139-118
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Instant replay
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Pete Nance, Kevin Porter Jr.)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Herbert Jones makes two point driving layup (Jordan Poole assists)
103-98
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Cam Thomas misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
103-98
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
103-98
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
103-96
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans offensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-92
Jordan Poole shooting foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-98
Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
94-92
Cam Thomas defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Pete Nance)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
Bucks defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses two point driving floating jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
94-92
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Pete Nance assists)
94-89
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover (shot clock violation)
Bucks offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Pete Nance)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
103-98
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point driving layup
+3
Karlo Matkovic makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)
139-118
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot
103-98
+3
Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
91-82
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point stepback jump shot
96-92
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Bryce McGowens)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point layup (Derik Queen assists)
96-92
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point jump shot
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-92
Bucks personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-98
Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (Bryce McGowens steals)
Pelicans turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
139-118
Derik Queen personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Ryan Rollins personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-92
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
96-92
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
96-92
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot
81-74
Bucks personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
139-118
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
Jericho Sims offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)
Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
AJ Green defensive rebound
Ryan Rollins blocks Bryce McGowens's two point driving layup
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot
96-92
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
139-118
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-98
Bucks personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
139-118
Jericho Sims shooting foul (Derik Queen draws the foul)
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Pelicans offensive rebound
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
139-118
Jericho Sims blocks Zion Williamson's two point driving hook shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
75-67
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Derik Queen personal foul (Loose ball) (Jericho Sims draws the foul)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
75-67
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
122-106
Saddiq Bey misses heave shot
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Bryce McGowens)
Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
71-65
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point putback dunk
71-65
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
+2
Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
71-65
Ryan Rollins turnover (lost ball) (Jeremiah Fears steals)
Jump ball. (Bryce McGowens gains possession)
Jeremiah Fears turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Rollins steals)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point running dunk (AJ Green assists)
69-61
Jeremiah Fears turnover
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma personal foul
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-74
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
67-60
AJ Green defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
AJ Green shooting foul (Derik Queen draws the foul)
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-65
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
71-65
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
AJ Green turnover (Bryce McGowens steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans violation
Pelicans violation
Bucks 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point running layup (Derik Queen assists)
62-59
Cam Thomas turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
69-61
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot
69-61
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
69-61
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
69-61
Pete Nance turnover (Saddiq Bey steals)
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
69-61
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
69-61
+2
Pete Nance makes two point cutting layup (AJ Green assists)
48-47
+2
Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
48-47
Cam Thomas turnover (bad pass) (Bryce McGowens steals)
Jeremiah Fears turnover
Derik Queen shooting foul (Cam Thomas draws the foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
+2
Cam Thomas makes two point driving floating jump shot
48-47
+1
Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 1
48-47
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
69-61
Cam Thomas offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
69-61
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
Pete Nance offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Cam Thomas offensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic shooting foul (Cam Thomas draws the foul)
Cam Thomas misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jordan Hawkins, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
+1
Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-61
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Cam Thomas, Pete Nance)
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot
+2
Cam Thomas makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
48-47
Derik Queen turnover (lost ball) (AJ Green steals)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Hawkins, Saddiq Bey)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Cam Thomas)
Jericho Sims shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
69-61
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-61
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
69-61
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
67-60
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
48-47
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 1
48-47
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Jordan Poole, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Hawkins, Saddiq Bey)
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
48-47
Pelicans personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Hawkins)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
48-47
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
48-47
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
37-40
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point putback layup
35-38
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pelicans offensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks personal foul
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
Bucks offensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, Kevin Porter Jr.)
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-38
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
33-38
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Bucks personal foul
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
32-36
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot
32-36
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic blocks Pete Nance's two point hook shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
30-34
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
33-38
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
28-32
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
28-29
Cam Thomas shooting foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-30
Ousmane Dieng turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
32-36
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
28-25
Bucks 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Pete Nance, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Bryce McGowens turnover
Zion Williamson misses two point tip layup
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Bucks vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Pelicans
- Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pelicans favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +180, Pelicans -174
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 34%
- Pelicans: 66%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 109-114 Pelicans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 34%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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