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Heat vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Hawks NBA game on February 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
128
97
Feb 21, 12:30AM State Farm Arena
Feb 21, 12:30AM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 29 | 28 | 21 | 50 | 128 |
Hawks | 16 | 35 | 14 | 32 | 97 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
93%
7%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 29 | 28 | 21 | 50 | 128 |
Hawks | 16 | 35 | 14 | 32 | 97 |
Q4 00:18 Keshad Johnson misses two point driving layup
Q4 00:33 Myron Gardner makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 00:39 Dru Smith misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q4 00:48 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
Q4 1:35 Hawks makes three point jump shot (Keaton Wallace assists)
Q4 1:53 Keshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
Q4 2:17 Keaton Wallace misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:50 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-97
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Myron Gardner personal foul
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-97
Keshad Johnson misses two point driving layup
Heat personal foul
Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-97
Hawks offensive rebound
Keaton Wallace shooting foul (Myron Gardner draws the foul)
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-97
+2
Myron Gardner makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
128-95
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Dru Smith misses three point running pullup jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-97
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-97
Zaccharie Risacher misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dru Smith personal foul
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
128-97
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot (Keaton Wallace assists)
128-97
+3
Keshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
128-97
Keshad Johnson shooting foul (Corey Kispert draws the foul)
Hawks offensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-97
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Keaton Wallace misses two point stepback jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-97
Heat offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Keshad Johnson, Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio)
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-97
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Zaccharie Risacher, Keaton Wallace, Mouhamed Gueye, Corey Kispert)
Dyson Daniels personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
104-89
Hawks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
128-97
Norman Powell defensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses three point pullup jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
128-95
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-95
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-97
Jalen Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Onyeka Okongwu makes two point cutting dunk (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
128-97
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point reverse layup
128-97
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
100-82
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-82
Hawks turnover
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
128-95
Heat personal foul
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-95
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
100-82
Nickeil Alexander-Walker shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-97
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-97
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
128-97
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
128-97
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-80
Onyeka Okongwu personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels misses two point driving floating jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Hawks 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
128-97
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
128-95
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
128-95
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-97
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point putback dunk
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point pullup jump shot
78-65
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
128-97
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-75
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses two point layup
CJ McCollum turnover (bad pass)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-95
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
128-97
CJ McCollum personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Mouhamed Gueye, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Hawks defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
78-65
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-65
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
78-65
Corey Kispert offensive rebound
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup
Hawks turnover
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-65
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
78-65
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
78-65
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
CJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
78-65
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-65
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell personal foul (Corey Kispert draws the foul)
Norman Powell turnover (offensive foul)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
71-60
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-65
Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup
78-65
Zaccharie Risacher personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
+3
Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot
78-65
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
104-89
Heat turnover
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-65
Instant replay (Challenge)
Jalen Johnson offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Jalen Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
Hawks 60 second timeout
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point running layup
62-54
Hawks 60 second timeout
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
62-54
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
71-60
Hawks offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses heave shot
End of 1st Half.
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
57-51
Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
57-51
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
57-51
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
55-48
Dyson Daniels turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
52-48
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point tip layup
52-48
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Dyson Daniels shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-46
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-51
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
48-46
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
Onyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-46
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)
Andrew Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
46-45
Heat personal foul
Hawks personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-42
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-42
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
44-42
Heat turnover
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
44-39
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-37
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
42-37
Hawks defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
42-34
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-31
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
39-31
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-28
Hawks personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
37-28
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-25
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-25
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-25
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
33-25
Heat personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jock Landale, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
33-23
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
33-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-18
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
31-18
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-16
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Mouhamed Gueye, Corey Kispert)
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-16
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
27-16
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
27-14
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-14
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Mouhamed Gueye, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
22-14
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-12
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
20-12
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-10
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
CJ McCollum offensive rebound
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point putback layup
18-10
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Onyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-8
Heat turnover
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-7
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-7
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
14-7
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
14-5
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
11-5
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-3
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-3
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
7-3
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-0
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-0
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-0
Hawks turnover
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Hawks personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 0 | S. Fontecchio | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 12 | D. Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | J. Landale | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| F | 18 | M. Gueye | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 24 | C. Kispert | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| F | 10 | Z. Risacher | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 2 | K. Wallace | 2 | 1 | 1 |
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Heat vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Hawks
- Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 243.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -142, Hawks +124
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 63%
- Hawks: 37%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 123-119 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 63%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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