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Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Warriors NBA game on February 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
121
110
Feb 20, 3AM Chase Center
Feb 20, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 36 | 59 | 7 | 19 | 121 |
Warriors | 32 | 29 | 12 | 37 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 36 | 59 | 7 | 19 | 121 |
Warriors | 32 | 29 | 12 | 37 | 110 |
Q4 00:18 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Sam Hauser misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Sam Hauser misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
121-110
Al Horford defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
121-108
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors defensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White)
Sam Hauser misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Celtics personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 3
119-107
De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 3 of 3
119-108
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
119-106
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Nikola Vucevic defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Sam Hauser offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
117-106
Al Horford defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
117-104
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
117-102
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
117-99
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
114-99
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-99
Celtics turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
111-97
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Payton Pritchard turnover
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Nikola Vucevic)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-94
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
111-92
Baylor Scheierman offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
109-92
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
109-90
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
107-90
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-90
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Nikola Vucevic misses two point tip layup
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-87
Celtics turnover
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman, Nikola Vucevic)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-85
Jordan Walsh turnover (lost ball) (De'Anthony Melton steals)
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
105-82
Baylor Scheierman personal foul
De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Baylor Scheierman misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-80
Baylor Scheierman turnover (bad pass) (Pat Spencer steals)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-78
+3
Luka Garza makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
105-75
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-80
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors offensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Brandin Podziemski heave shot
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Jordan Walsh, Baylor Scheierman)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
102-73
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Nikola Vucevic offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Nikola Vucevic's two point driving layup
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-73
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
102-73
Al Horford turnover
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
98-71
Will Richard defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
102-73
Jump ball. (Al Horford gains possession)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Hugo Gonzalez, Derrick White, Nikola Vucevic)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
102-73
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-73
Will Richard defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-73
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
95-61
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Nikola Vucevic personal foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
Moses Moody misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Moses Moody misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Moses Moody misses two point driving layup
Al Horford defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Hugo Gonzalez, Nikola Vucevic)
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point jump shot
93-61
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
93-61
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-59
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-59
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Nikola Vucevic)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Nikola Vucevic)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Nikola Vucevic)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski blocks Derrick White's two point pullup jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point floating jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
Sam Hauser misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Gui Santos makes three point running jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
93-61
Jaylen Brown turnover (Brandin Podziemski steals)
Warriors turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
89-56
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
89-56
+2
Derrick White makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
87-54
Derrick White offensive rebound
Neemias Queta misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
98-71
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
Celtics defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
98-71
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Pat Spencer's two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
95-61
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
78-54
Warriors turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
95-61
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
83-54
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
89-56
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
89-56
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
95-61
+3
Payton Pritchard makes three point jump shot
89-56
Kristaps Porzingis turnover
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot
89-56
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot
63-48
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Nikola Vucevic)
Payton Pritchard turnover (traveling)
Nikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
89-56
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
89-56
Al Horford defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
+2
Gui Santos makes two point layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
60-43
Celtics 60 second timeout
Warriors turnover
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Celtics vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -210, Warriors +196
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 71%
- Warriors: 29%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 109-103 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 71%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
