Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs in the NHL on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and game total.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
vs.
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Avalanche
    59.1%
    NovigNovig
  • Maple Leafs
    40.9%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Avalanche
Probability
  • Nathan MacKinnon
    42.8%
  • Martin Necas
    35.4%
  • Artturi Lehkonen
    32.6%
  • Brock Nelson
  • Cale Makar
Maple Leafs
Probability
  • William Nylander
    39.1%
  • Auston Matthews
    36.4%
  • John Tavares
    31.5%
  • Gavin McKenna
  • Darren Raddysh

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Tuesday

  • Teams: Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Avalanche (-1.5, +148), Maple Leafs (+1.5, -158)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-115/-102)
  • Moneyline: Avalanche -154, Maple Leafs +146

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Avalanche: 59.7%
  • Maple Leafs: 40.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 59.7%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 40.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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