Islanders vs. Sharks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026

The New York Islanders are favored to beat the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center at San Jose on Monday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Islanders vs. Sharks prediction gives New York a 54.6% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 6.5 goals.

Islanders vs. Sharks key predictions

• Islanders win probability: 54.6%
• Sharks win probability: 45.4%
• Sharks +1.5 puck line: 67.1% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 55.8% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Islanders vs. Sharks odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Islanders moneyline: -130 (DraftKings)
• Sharks moneyline: 44¢ (Novig)
• Islanders -1.5: +190 (DraftKings)
• Sharks +1.5: 66¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Islanders vs. Sharks pick: Under 6.5 (53¢)

Our model makes the Islanders the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 53¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 53.0%, while our model puts it at 55.8%.

That's a 2.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Islanders vs. Sharks goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Macklin Celebrini of the Sharks leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Monday's game at 41.4%, followed by NY's Bo Horvat (34.6%). Celebrini also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.5%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Macklin Celebrini (Sharks): 41.4%
2. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 34.6%
3. Will Smith (Sharks): 31.1%
4. Matthew Schaefer (Islanders): 28.2%
5. Victor Eklund (Islanders): 26.3%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Macklin Celebrini (Sharks): 9.5%
2. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 7.1%
3. Will Smith (Sharks): 6.0%
4. Victor Eklund (Islanders): 5.4%
5. Matthew Schaefer (Islanders): 5.3%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Islanders vs. Sharks prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Islanders vs. Sharks predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Islanders vs. Sharks game details

• Matchup: NY Islanders vs. San Jose Sharks
• Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
• Puck drop: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.