Red Wings vs. Avalanche prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 7, 2026

The Colorado Avalanche are favored to beat the Detroit Red Wings at Ball Arena on Saturday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Red Wings vs. Avalanche prediction gives Colorado a 65.6% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 6.5 goals.

Red Wings vs. Avalanche key predictions

• Avalanche win probability: 65.6%
• Red Wings win probability: 34.4%
• Red Wings +1.5 puck line: 57.1% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 54.1% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Red Wings vs. Avalanche odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Red Wings moneyline: +195 (BetRivers)
• Avalanche moneyline: 66¢ (Novig)
• Red Wings +1.5: -134 (BetRivers)
• Avalanche -1.5: 43¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 52¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Red Wings vs. Avalanche pick: Under 6.5 (52¢)

Our model makes the Avalanche the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 6.5 total goals at 52¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.0%, while our model puts it at 54.1%.

That's a 2.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Red Wings vs. Avalanche goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Nathan MacKinnon of the Avalanche leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Saturday's game at 42.2%, followed by Detroit's Alex DeBrincat (37.8%). MacKinnon also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.4%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche): 42.2%
2. Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings): 37.8%
3. Viktor Arvidsson (Red Wings): 35.8%
4. Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche): 33.4%
5. Martin Necas (Avalanche): 31.7%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche): 8.4%
2. Viktor Arvidsson (Red Wings): 7.9%
3. Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings): 7.5%
4. Artturi Lehkonen (Avalanche): 6.9%
5. Martin Necas (Avalanche): 6.1%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Red Wings vs. Avalanche prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Red Wings vs. Avalanche predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Red Wings vs. Avalanche game details

• Matchup: Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Puck drop: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Ball Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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