Devils vs. Maple Leafs prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 8, 2026

The New Jersey Devils are favored to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Devils vs. Maple Leafs prediction gives New Jersey a 54.0% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Maple Leafs as the underdog.

Devils vs. Maple Leafs key predictions

• Devils win probability: 54.0%
• Maple Leafs win probability: 46.0%
• Maple Leafs +1.5 puck line: 66.5% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 53.2% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Devils vs. Maple Leafs odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.

• Devils moneyline: 60¢ (Novig)
• Maple Leafs moneyline: 41¢ (Novig)
• Devils -1.5: 36¢ (Novig)
• Maple Leafs +1.5: 64¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 52¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Devils vs. Maple Leafs pick: Maple Leafs ML (41¢)

Our model makes the Devils the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Maple Leafs moneyline at 41¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the Maple Leafs an implied win probability of 41.0%, while our model puts it at 46.0%.

That's a 5.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Devils vs. Maple Leafs goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

William Nylander of the Maple Leafs leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Sunday's game at 39.0%, ahead of teammate Auston Matthews (37.0%). New Jersey's most likely goal-scorer, Jack Hughes, follows at 36.0%. Nylander and Hughes share the highest first goal-scorer probability at 7.2% each.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. William Nylander (Maple Leafs): 39.0%
2. Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs): 37.0%
3. Jack Hughes (Devils): 36.0%
4. Anthony Mantha (Devils): 29.9%
5. Jack Roslovic (Maple Leafs): 28.4%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. William Nylander (Maple Leafs): 7.2%
2. Jack Hughes (Devils): 7.2%
3. Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs): 6.6%
4. Anthony Mantha (Devils): 5.7%
5. Jack Roslovic (Maple Leafs): 5.4%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Devils vs. Maple Leafs prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Devils vs. Maple Leafs predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Devils vs. Maple Leafs game details

• Matchup: New Jersey Devils vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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