Rangers vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Rangers vs. Oilers in the NHL on Monday, November 9, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Rangers
vs.
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Rangers
    42.7%
    NovigNovig
  • Oilers
    57.3%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Rangers
Probability
  • Pavel Dorofeyev
    32.6%
  • Mika Zibanejad
    30.3%
  • Alexis Lafreniere
    29.3%
  • J.T. Miller
  • Will Cuylle
Oilers
Probability
  • Leon Draisaitl
    46.6%
  • Connor McDavid
    40.3%
  • Zach Hyman
    28.4%
  • Evan Bouchard
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Rangers vs. Oilers prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Monday

  • Teams: NY Rangers Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers
  • Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
  • Puck drop: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Rangers (+1.5, -178), Oilers (-1.5, +170)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-104/+100)
  • Moneyline: Rangers +141, Oilers -144

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rangers: 42.9%
  • Oilers: 57.1%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Rangers vs. Oilers player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Pavel Dorofeyev, Rangers: 31.5%
  • Alexis Lafreniere, Rangers: 28.5%
  • Leon Draisaitl, Oilers: 47.4%
  • Connor McDavid, Oilers: 40.7%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rangers a win probability of 42.9%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 57.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Monday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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