Penguins vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Islanders NHL game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
4
5
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 2 1 0 4
Islanders
2 0 2 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 2 1 0 4
Islanders
2 0 2 1 5
OT1 00:51 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 18:39 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:21 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 17:30 Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 15:45 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 15:05 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:54 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:12 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 10:50 Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P3 10:40 Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Brett Kulak
P3 08:35 Goal scored by Mathew Barzal assisted by Adam Pelech
P3 07:20 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P3 06:48 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:29 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
P3 05:37 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:21 Ryan Shea shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 03:41 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:15 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P2 19:04 Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  3. OT1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  4. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  5. P3 19:09
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Anders Lee in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:41
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  7. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  8. P3 18:23
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  9. P3 18:23
    Stoppage - Home Timeout
  10. P3 18:21
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  11. P3 17:30
    SHOT
    Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  12. P3 15:53
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  14. P3 15:43
    Penguins won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  15. P3 15:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 15:24
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  17. P3 15:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
  18. P3 14:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  19. P3 14:11
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  20. P3 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
  21. P3 14:02
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  22. P3 14:02
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  23. P3 11:52
    Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
  24. P3 11:52
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  25. P3 11:12
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  26. P3 10:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
  27. P3 10:40
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Brett Kulak
    4-3
  28. P3 08:43
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  29. P3 08:43
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  30. P3 08:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mathew Barzal assisted by Adam Pelech
    3-3
  31. P3 07:20
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  32. P3 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Stuart Skinner
  33. P3 06:29
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
  34. P3 06:01
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  35. P3 05:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
  36. P3 05:05
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  37. P3 05:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  38. P3 04:21
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  39. P3 03:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
  40. P3 02:50
    Anders Lee credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
  41. P3 02:25
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  42. P3 02:25
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  43. P3 02:17
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  44. P3 02:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  45. P3 01:44
    Stoppage - Offside
  46. P3 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
  49. P2 18:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
  50. P2 18:07
    Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  51. P2 18:07
    Penalty to Carson Soucy 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Yegor Chinakhov)
  52. P2 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  53. P2 17:10
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  54. P2 17:10
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  55. P2 16:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Islanders
  56. P2 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  57. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Ilya Sorokin
  58. P2 14:09
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  59. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  60. P2 12:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Stuart Skinner
  61. P2 09:07
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  62. P2 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ilya Sorokin
  63. P2 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  64. P2 08:24
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  65. P2 08:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  66. P2 07:23
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  67. P2 07:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  68. P2 07:16
    Penguins won faceoff against Adam Pelech in neutral zone
  69. P2 07:13
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  70. P2 07:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  71. P2 06:46
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  72. P2 06:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
  73. P2 06:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  74. P2 04:56
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  75. P2 04:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  76. P2 04:08
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  77. P2 04:08
    Penalty to Erik Karlsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  78. P2 04:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  79. P2 03:52
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  80. P2 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  81. P2 03:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  82. P2 02:33
    Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  83. P2 02:17
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  84. P2 02:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Stuart Skinner
  86. P2 01:37
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  87. P2 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Stuart Skinner
  88. P2 00:44
    SHOT
    Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  89. P2 00:24
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
  90. P2 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Sorokin
  91. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  92. P1 19:56
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  93. P1 19:56
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matthew Schaefer assisted by Ondrej Palat and Bo Horvat
    1-2
  94. P1 18:51
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  95. P1 18:51
    Stoppage - Offside
  96. P1 18:38
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bo Horvat
    1-1
  97. P1 17:55
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  98. P1 17:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  99. P1 17:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  100. P1 16:55
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  101. P1 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
  102. P1 16:06
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  103. P1 15:58
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  104. P1 15:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P1 15:40
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  106. P1 15:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  107. P1 14:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  108. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noel Acciari
  109. P1 14:02
    SHOT
    Noel Acciari shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  110. P1 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
  111. P1 12:56
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  112. P1 12:55
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  113. P1 12:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  114. P1 12:31
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  115. P1 12:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  116. P1 12:07
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Mantha
    1-0
  117. P1 11:32
    Connor Clifton credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  118. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  119. P1 10:24
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  120. P1 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ilya Sorokin
  121. P1 09:17
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  122. P1 08:54
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  123. P1 08:34
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
  124. P1 08:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  125. P1 07:55
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  126. P1 07:37
    Ilya Solovyov credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  127. P1 06:29
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  128. P1 06:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  129. P1 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Stuart Skinner
  130. P1 04:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  131. P1 04:11
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  132. P1 03:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  133. P1 02:40
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  134. P1 02:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  135. P1 01:54
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  136. P1 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  137. P1 01:07
    Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
  138. P1 00:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  140. P1 00:05
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  141. P1 00:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  142. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Islanders
35Shots on Goal23
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
25Hits22
10 Shots Blocked 12
17Giveaways14
PenguinsPIT
IslandersNYI
35Shots on Goal23
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
25Hits22
10 Shots Blocked 12
17Giveaways14

Penguins vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Islanders
  • Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -118, Islanders +100

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 52%
  • Islanders: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 52%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.