Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Lightning NHL game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sabres
3
4
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123OTT
Sabres
1 0 2 0 3
Lightning
1 0 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sabres
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Sabres
1 0 2 0 3
Lightning
1 0 2 1 4
OT1 04:32 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 03:59 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 03:31 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 02:33 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
OT1 00:45 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:33 Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:00 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:36 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 17:33 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 16:04 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 15:18 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:52 Power play - Goal scored by Josh Doan
P3 14:15 Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:01 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 13:31 Power play - Jack Quinn shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 08:53 Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
P3 08:52 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 08:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 07:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Colten Ellis
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  3. OT1 04:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  4. OT1 04:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  5. OT1 03:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  6. OT1 03:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  7. OT1 02:43
    Takeaway by Dominic James in defensive zone
  8. OT1 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  9. OT1 01:44
    Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  10. OT1 01:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  11. OT1 00:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  12. OT1 00:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  13. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  14. P3 19:33
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
    3-3
  15. P3 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  16. P3 18:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  17. P3 18:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  18. P3 18:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  19. P3 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
  20. P3 17:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  21. P3 17:30
    Giveaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
  22. P3 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  23. P3 15:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  24. P3 14:53
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  25. P3 14:52
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Josh Doan
    3-2
  26. P3 14:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  27. P3 14:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  28. P3 13:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Jack Quinn shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  29. P3 12:55
    Shorthanded - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  30. P3 12:15
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  31. P3 12:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  32. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  33. P3 11:20
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  34. P3 10:41
    Dominic James won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  35. P3 10:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  36. P3 10:09
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  37. P3 08:53
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  38. P3 08:53
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
    2-2
  39. P3 08:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  40. P3 08:07
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  41. P3 08:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
  42. P3 07:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 07:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Colten Ellis
  44. P3 07:33
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  45. P3 07:33
    Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
  46. P3 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Colten Ellis
  47. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 04:08
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  49. P3 04:08
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Ryan McLeod and Jack Quinn
    2-1
  50. P3 03:47
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  51. P3 03:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  52. P3 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Bryson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 01:15
    Sabres won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  55. P3 00:40
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jason Zucker
  56. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  57. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
  58. P2 18:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Colten Ellis
  59. P2 17:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 16:50
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  61. P2 16:50
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  62. P2 16:42
    Sabres won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  63. P2 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Colten Ellis
  64. P2 15:47
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  65. P2 15:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  66. P2 14:28
    Takeaway by Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  67. P2 14:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  68. P2 14:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  69. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Colten Ellis
  70. P2 12:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Colten Ellis
  71. P2 12:22
    Sabres won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  72. P2 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  73. P2 12:01
    Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  74. P2 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  75. P2 10:50
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  76. P2 10:29
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  77. P2 09:31
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  78. P2 09:23
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  79. P2 09:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  80. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
  81. P2 07:28
    SHOT
    Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
  82. P2 06:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sabres
  83. P2 05:54
    Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
  84. P2 05:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  85. P2 05:26
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  86. P2 05:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  87. P2 04:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  88. P2 04:19
    Dominic James won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  89. P2 04:17
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
  90. P2 03:48
    Takeaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
  91. P2 03:27
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  92. P2 03:15
    Dominic James won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  93. P2 02:58
    Giveaway by Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  94. P2 02:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  95. P2 02:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 01:50
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  97. P2 01:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  98. P2 01:19
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  99. P2 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  100. P2 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Colten Ellis
  101. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  102. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  103. P1 19:40
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  104. P1 19:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  105. P1 18:40
    Dominic James won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  106. P1 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  107. P1 18:37
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  108. P1 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  109. P1 18:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  110. P1 17:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Colten Ellis
  111. P1 16:53
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  112. P1 15:40
    Power play - Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  113. P1 15:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  114. P1 15:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  115. P1 15:00
    Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  116. P1 15:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  117. P1 14:34
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  118. P1 14:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  119. P1 14:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Doan shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  120. P1 13:58
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  121. P1 13:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P1 13:55
    Jason Zucker won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  123. P1 13:55
    Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jack Quinn)
  124. P1 13:44
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  125. P1 13:18
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  126. P1 13:06
    Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in neutral zone
  127. P1 12:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
  128. P1 10:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Colten Ellis
  129. P1 10:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  130. P1 10:35
    Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Josh Doan)
  131. P1 10:24
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  132. P1 10:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel
    0-1
  133. P1 09:35
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  134. P1 09:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  135. P1 09:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  136. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
  137. P1 08:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  138. P1 07:20
    Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  139. P1 07:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
  140. P1 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  141. P1 04:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  142. P1 04:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  143. P1 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Colten Ellis
  144. P1 03:13
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Owen Power
  145. P1 01:36
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  146. P1 01:30
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  147. P1 01:10
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  148. P1 01:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P1 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Colten Ellis
  150. P1 01:04
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
  151. P1 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
  152. P1 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Lightning
26Shots on Goal35
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
13Hits26
10 Shots Blocked 10
22Giveaways15
SabresBUF
LightningTB
26Shots on Goal35
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
13Hits26
10 Shots Blocked 10
22Giveaways15

Sabres vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres +170, Lightning -200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 38%
  • Lightning: 62%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 38%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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