Rams vs. Commanders prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win in NFL Week 9 [2026]

Since our Rams-Commanders predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Rams and Commanders, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rams a 64.7% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 25-21.

Key factors favoring the Rams:

• Rams offense
• Rams team rating
• Commanders defense

According to our model, the Commanders (+4.5) have a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Rams -4.5 (+100) / Commanders +4.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Rams -203, Commanders +203
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-106/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Commanders +4.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Commanders @ 33¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 47.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Commanders to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Rams vs. Commanders TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Rams vs. Commanders?

According to our model, Kyren Williams is most likely to score an anytime TD in Rams vs. Commanders.

Our projections give Williams a 55.9% chance of scoring a TD at Northwest Stadium, while the running back is a 13.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Rams

• Kyren Williams (RB): 55.9% probability
• Puka Nacua (WR): 49.9%
• Blake Corum (RB): 33.8%
• Tyler Higbee (TE): 23.6%
• Colby Parkinson (TE): 23.3%

Washington Commanders

• Stefon Diggs (WR): 36.1% prob.
• Rachaad White (RB): 35.3%
• Jayden Daniels (QB): 27.8%
• Antonio Williams (WR): 26.5%
• Chig Okonkwo (TE): 24.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Rams

• Kyren Williams (RB): 13.6% prob.
• Puka Nacua (WR): 11.5%
• Blake Corum (RB): 6.9%
• Tyler Higbee (TE): 4.5%
• Colby Parkinson (TE): 4.4%

Washington Commanders

• Stefon Diggs (WR): 7.9% prob.
• Rachaad White (RB): 7.7%
• Jayden Daniels (QB): 5.8%
• Antonio Williams (WR): 5.4%
• Chig Okonkwo (TE): 4.9%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Rams and Commanders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Rams' Matthew Stafford is projected for 252 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 219 yards.

Rams rushing

• Kyren Williams: 68 yds
• Blake Corum: 52 yds
• Matthew Stafford: 3 yds

Commanders rushing

• Rachaad White: 40 yds
• Jayden Daniels: 39 yds
• Austin Ekeler: 26 yds

Rams receiving

• Puka Nacua: 98 yds
• Tyler Higbee: 29 yds
• Colby Parkinson: 25 yds
• Kyren Williams: 24 yds
• Tutu Atwell: 23 yds

Commanders receiving

• Antonio Williams: 54 yds
• Stefon Diggs: 52 yds
• Chig Okonkwo: 38 yds
• Luke McCaffrey: 22 yds
• Rachaad White: 19 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Commanders and Rams at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Rams vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Rams, with a 64.7% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 9 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.