...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Toronto FC vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Saturday.
Toronto and NY Red Bulls will meet in MLS action at BMO Field on Saturday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Toronto as the most likely winner of the Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Toronto and NY Red Bulls 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 39.4% chance of Toronto winning, a 34.6% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 26.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Toronto | NY Red Bulls | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +115 | +220 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NY Red Bulls | +220 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -102 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is NY Red Bulls to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TFC 1-1 NYR | 12.3% |
| TFC 1-0 NYR | 9.6% |
| TFC 0-1 NYR | 8.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Toronto and NY Red Bulls in MLS at BMO Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto FC vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: BMO Field
World Cup 2026 watch: John Tolkin (USA)
NY Red Bulls left-back John Tolkin is a key name to follow for USMNT fans this year as interest grows in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Tolkin's form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Toronto has a 39.4% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 34.6% win probability, and there is a 26.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure