Three Ways to Bet on Damian Lillard's Milwaukee Bucks Debut

Three Ways to Bet on Damian Lillard's Milwaukee Bucks Debut

The 2023-2024 NBA season is officially underway. Once the Bucks and 76ers play tonight, we'll have seen all 30 teams in action and it's a beautiful thing. Dimers has covered all season long as we bring you trusted data-driven insights to help you make educated and informed wagers every single night, all powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models.

As sports bettors ourselves, we put our NBA player prop bets to the test right alongside you, using our best NBA bets or combining our model's best parlay picks for some big payouts. We even got off to a great start on Wednesday with our First Basket Round Robin, cashing two of our best plays and doubling our followers' money.

We're locked and loaded for an exciting night of basketball as Damian Lillard makes his regular-season debut with the Milwaukee Bucks after being acquired in a blockbuster offseason trade. Naturally, we want to bet on this marquee game so we're matching our NBA predictions against the sportsbook lines to find out the best bets to make on Dame Time tonight.

Before diving in, you should know it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

For example, did you know that FanDuel Sportsbook is opening up the 2023-24 NBA season with a bang, giving new customers three months of NBA League Pass on them when players sign up and bet $5?

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  1. Create your FanDuel account here
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This remarkable offer isn't limited to just NBA bets; it extends to a wide range of sports markets, enhancing your sports betting experience. FanDuel Sportsbook is known for its extensive selection of basketball betting options, including the increasingly popular NBA player props bet types.

 

WHO WINS THE CHIP: NBA Futures Bets

How to Bet on Damian Lillard on Thursday

Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks, 7:30PM ET

Damian Lillard 30+ Points with FanDuel

Our first prop is straight and to the point. Damian Lillard is famous for being a scoring machine, especially from deep. Last season, Dame averaged 32.2 points per game, the third-best mark in the entire NBA, and his highest ever in a season. He did play "only" 58 games, so it's possible this would have leveled out had he played in the last two months of the year, but the fact is Dame is a pure scorer and the Bucks didn't acquire him to not do what he does.

The preseason numbers aren't inspiring, making just 4 of 21 three-pointers, but on the big stage against a top team like the 76ers, our model expects Dame to get it going and find his shot. His line is set at 27.5 on FanDuel and DimersBOT projects Lillard for 30 on the dot. You can take his regular line at -104, but if you grab him for 30+ points, you're looking at +145. And don't forget, betting just $5 on either line will net you three months of NBA League Pass!

Damian Lillard Under 4.5 Rebounds (-130, boost to +115) with DraftKings

Time for an under, this time on Lillard's rebounds prop. This line is right in line with where Dame has historically been as a rebounder; his highest career marks are 4.9 in 2016-17 and 4.8 last season. On the Bucks, he'll have Giannis and Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez in the starting lineup alone, who are all more capable and obvious rebounders than Lillard. Combine that with his penchant for deep shooting and the formula suggests he's less likely to pick up the boards at his usual clip on this Milwaukee squad.

Our model projects him to go just under with 4 rebounds on the night. His odds are a little juicy at -130,  but over at DraftKings Sportsbook here, you can get a 50% boost to use on any NBA bet tonight, turning these odds into +115!

TODAY'S TRENDS: NBA Trends

Damian Lillard Under 7.5 Assists (-130) with FanDuel

The odds have moved on this one a bit, however as of this writing they're at their best so far. Lillard had the tenth-best assist average last year in the NBA and still averaged under this number at 7.3. He's surrounded by the best starting lineup of his career now, which may very well open him up to more dimes over his Bucks tenure, but for tonight, our model is projecting the under. At six assists, DimersBOT sees him going under this mark by a full two assists which suggest substantial value.

If you take all three of these props and bet them together on FanDuel, you'll get odds +660 right now, and they have a 50% SGP boost you can use, turning this parlay all the way into +990 odds!

TODAY'S BEST PLAYS: NBA Best Bets 

 

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

RELATED: Best Bets Today

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every basketball game on Thursday via our NBA Bet Hub, where we deliver you NBA predictions and suggested bets, or check out the NBA Betting News section.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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