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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [1/20/2024]

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [1/20/2024]

The Buffalo Sabres will face the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at KeyBank Center on Saturday, starting at 12:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Saturday's Lightning vs. Sabres matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Sabres 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL picks.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 52% chance of defeating the Sabres.

According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Today's Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo betting preview is proudly sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has a great Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Lightning vs. Sabres Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lightning Sabres
Puck Line -1.5 (+200) +1.5 (-240)
Moneyline -105 -104
Total o6.5 (-115) u6.5 (+100)
  • The Sabres are currently +1.5 underdogs versus the Lightning, with -240 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Lightning (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +200. In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the Sabres and Lightning are currently at minus-money betting odds on the moneyline.

  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Sabres at -104, which means you can risk $104 to win $100 for a total payout of $204 if they get the W.

  • BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -105, where you can risk $105 to win $100 for a total payout of $205 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Lightning vs. Sabres Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Sabres +1.5 -240
Moneyline Lightning -105
Total Under 6.5 +100

 

Our NHL best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Lightning vs. Sabres Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Sabres?

According to our model, Buffalo's Tage Thompson is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Sabres.

Our projections give Thompson a 9.0% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Sabres star is a 41.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 8.6%
Nikita Kucherov 7.4%
Steven Stamkos 6.4%
Brandon Hagel 5.1%
Anthony Cirelli 3.8%

Buffalo Sabres

Player First Goal Probability
Tage Thompson 9.0%
Alex Tuch 7.2%
Jack Quinn 4.0%
Rasmus Dahlin 3.7%
Casey Mittelstadt 3.6%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 44.9%
Nikita Kucherov 39.7%
Steven Stamkos 36.8%
Brandon Hagel 27.5%
Anthony Cirelli 21.8%

Buffalo Sabres

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Tage Thompson 41.3%
Alex Tuch 34.2%
Casey Mittelstadt 24.5%
Jack Quinn 22.5%
Rasmus Dahlin 21.6%
Don't forget, our model updates often, so keep checking this page for the latest betting insights ahead of the Lightning vs. Sabres on Saturday January 20, 2024.

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Information

Saturday's matchup between the Sabres and Lightning at KeyBank Center is scheduled to start at 12:30PM ET.

 

Our full coverage of Lightning vs. Sabres includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live scores.

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Sabres

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Saturday's Lightning vs. Sabres game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Lightning vs. Sabres picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NHL

Stay updated with the latest NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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