NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football include TreVeyon Henderson, Stefon Diggs [Week 11, 2025]

Our NFL touchdown predictions for Thursday Night Football, Week 11 are live—with TreVeyon Henderson and Stefon Diggs projected as two of the most likely players to score according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

These projections come from Dimers Pro's proprietry model, with our NFL touchdown predictions highlighting which players have the best chance of scoring a touchdown tonight.

In this article, you'll find for Thursday Night Football:

• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• First touchdown scorer predictions
• TD scorer prop bet with odds of +380

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, Week 11, 2025

According to Dimers Pro's proprietary data-driven analysis, Henderson leads our TNF touchdown projections with a 52.3% chance to score, followed by Diggs (37.2%) and Hunter Henry (33.3%).

Player (Team)	Anytime TD Probability
TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)	52.3%
Stefon Diggs (Patriots)	37.2%
Hunter Henry (Patriots)	33.3%
Breece Hall (Jets)	31.9%
Drake Maye (Patriots)	28.1%
Mack Hollins (Patriots)	27.0%
Justin Fields (Jets)	24.8%
Mason Taylor (Jets)	23.2%
Terrell Jennings (Patriots)	18.9%
DeMario Douglas (Patriots)	18.7%

Today’s first touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, Week 11, 2025

For tonight's first touchdown scorer predictions, the Dimers Pro model again highlights TreVeyon Henderson with a probability of 14.3%. He is followed closely by Stefon Diggs at 9.0% and Hunter Henry at 9.0%. Breece Hall (7.4%) and Drake Maye (6.4%) round out the top five.

For the full set of touchdown projections across every Week 11 matchup, check out our NFL player projections, where you can sort by anytime TD, first TD, or even 2+ and 3+ touchdowns to find every player’s scoring probabilities.

To make the most of TreVeyon Henderson's strong first TD probability, check out our guide on tonight's Thursday Night Football boosted odds.

Best NFL anytime touchdown scorer picks for TNF, Week 11, 2025

After thousands of simulations, factoring in the latest injury news and TNF odds, our model has found the best NFL touchdown scorer bet for TNF tonight.

Justin Fields anytime touchdown scorer (+380)

• Odds: +380
• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 24.8%

The best NFL touchdown bet for Jets vs. Patriots is Justin Fields to score an anytime TD at +380 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with our model finding an edge of 4.0% for Thursday Night Football.

For more insights into this week's NFL action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

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Conclusion: Today’s NFL touchdown betting picks

For Thursday Night Football of Week 11, our touchdown scorer predictions are set, with TreVeyon Henderson emerging as the most likely anytime TD scorer and also the top candidate to strike first. Still, it’s Justin Fields who stands out as the best bet, with our model uncovering a 4.0% edge at +380 odds to find the end zone.

These insights are powered by thousands of simulations and the latest lineup and injury data, giving you a sharper edge on NFL touchdown scorer markets. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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