Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for December 3, 2025, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, December 03, 2025, are live—with Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Bucks the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Wednesday's first basket predictions come straight from our NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [December 3, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 17.8%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
17.8%
Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
15.8%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)
15.1%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
15.1%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
15.0%
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)
15.0%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)
14.2%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
14.0%
Miles Bridges (Hornets)
13.7%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)
13.4%
Following Antetokounmpo closely are Anthony Davis at 15.8% and Kawhi Leonard at 15.1%.
Nikola Jokic and Donovan Mitchell also feature, with the full list of first basket projections for Wednesday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Anthony Davis is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket on Wednesday, December 3, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [12/3/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our independent predictive analytics model has generated the best NBA first basket betting pick for Wednesday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Clippers and Hawks. The bet is on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.0% according to our analysis.
Our model not only highlights Leonard for him 4.0% betting edge but also ranks him among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.
For December 3, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions feature star players like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Anthony Davis and Kawhi Leonard—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Kawhi Leonard who emerges as the top pick, showing a calculated 4.0% edge at +800 odds.
These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
