Timberwolves vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

The Minnesota Timberwolves are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our Timberwolves vs. Pelicans prediction gives Minnesota a 66.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Timberwolves moneyline, too.

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans key predictions

• Predicted score: Timberwolves 117-112 Pelicans
• Timberwolves win probability: 66.5%
• Pelicans win probability: 33.5%
• Timberwolves -4.5 spread: 51.1% cover probability
• Under 230.5 points: 51.0% probability

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Timberwolves moneyline: 61¢ (Novig)
• Pelicans moneyline: 39¢ (Polymarket)
• Timberwolves -4.5: 49¢ (Novig)
• Pelicans +4.5: 52¢ (Polymarket)
• Over 230.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 230.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans pick: Timberwolves ML (61¢)

Our model makes the Timberwolves the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Timberwolves moneyline at 61¢ on Novig, too.

Those odds give the Timberwolves an implied win probability of 60.9%, while our model puts it at 66.5%.

That's a 5.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Timberwolves star LaMelo Ball leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 22.5 points, plus 7.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Timberwolves' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

1. LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves): 22.5 points
2. Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 19.6
3. Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 18.5
4. Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 18.4
5. Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves): 17.1

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

Get every Timberwolves vs. Pelicans prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Timberwolves vs. Pelicans predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans game details

• Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Smoothie King Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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