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Read Article Martin Landaluce vs. Adam Walton prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Landaluce vs Walton predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Martin Landaluce will take on Adam Walton in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Martin Landaluce as the most likely winner of the Landaluce vs. Walton match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Landaluce vs. Walton prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Landaluce-Walton men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Landaluce an 81% chance of defeating Walton at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Landaluce has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Landaluce (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Martin Landaluce vs. Adam Walton odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Landaluce | Walton |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -450 | +365 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Landaluce vs. Walton picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Landaluce | -450 |
| First Set | Walton | -120 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Landaluce vs. Walton updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Martin Landaluce and Adam Walton is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 12:15 PM ET.
- Who: Martin Landaluce vs. Adam Walton
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:15 PM ET/9:15AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Martin Landaluce, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Adam Walton at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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