Sep 4, 2026
Iva Jovic vs. Alexandra Eala prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Read Article Aryna Sabalenka vs. Taylor Townsend prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Sabalenka vs Townsend predictions for US Open 2026.
Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend are scheduled to meet in the fourth round of the US Open 2026 on Sunday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner in this Sabalenka vs. Townsend prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sabalenka vs. Townsend prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Sabalenka-Townsend women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Sabalenka an 81% chance of winning against Townsend in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Sabalenka has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Taylor Townsend +400, Aryna Sabalenka -498
- First Set: Sabalenka -357, Townsend +275
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Sabalenka @ -498 via DraftKings
- First Set: Townsend @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 11:30 AM ET.
- Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Taylor Townsend
- Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Taylor Townsend at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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