Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Medvedev-Bublik men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 63% chance of beating Bublik at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Medvedev has a 60% chance of winning the first set, while the under 25.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alexander Bublik +175, Daniil Medvedev -191
• First Set: Medvedev -189, Bublik +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bublik @ +175 via DraftKings
• First Set: Bublik @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexander Bublik to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Alexander Bublik at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.