Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alexander Blockx prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Francisco Cerundolo will face Alexander Blockx in the fourth round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alexander Blockx as the most likely winner in this Cerundolo vs. Blockx prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Cerundolo vs. Blockx prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Cerundolo-Blockx men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Blockx a 57% chance of beating Cerundolo in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Blockx has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 39.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alexander Blockx -154, Francisco Cerundolo +130
• First Set: Cerundolo +120, Blockx -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cerundolo @ +130 via DraftKings
• First Set: Blockx @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Francisco Cerundolo to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alexander Blockx is scheduled to commence on Monday at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alexander Blockx
• Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alexander Blockx, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Francisco Cerundolo at the US Open 2026.

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