Sep 4, 2026
US Open bets today: One pick for Friday ft. Vacherot vs. Tiafoe [9/4/2026]
Read Article Alexander Zverev vs. Alejandro Tabilo prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Zverev vs Tabilo predictions for US Open 2026.
Alexander Zverev will take on Alejandro Tabilo in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Saturday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner in this Zverev vs. Tabilo prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Zverev vs. Tabilo prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Zverev-Tabilo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Zverev an 88% chance of beating Tabilo in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Zverev has an 80% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 36.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Alejandro Tabilo +500, Alexander Zverev -680
- First Set: Zverev -357, Tabilo +275
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Zverev @ -680 via DraftKings
- First Set: Tabilo @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexander Zverev to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Tabilo is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 8:10 PM ET.
- Who: Alexander Zverev vs. Alejandro Tabilo
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Zverev, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Tabilo at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Lock in for all of NFL & College Football. Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$99.99 $149.99
6 months $16.67 per month Save $79.95 · 44% Early bird price BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$149.99 $199.99
12 months $12.50 per month Save $209.89 · 58% Early bird price Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
