Sep 4, 2026
Iva Jovic vs. Alexandra Eala prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Read Article Jessica Pegula vs. Sorana Cirstea prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Pegula vs Cirstea predictions for US Open 2026.
Jessica Pegula will take on Sorana Cirstea in the fourth round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Sunday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner in this Pegula vs. Cirstea prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pegula vs. Cirstea prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Pegula-Cirstea women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Pegula a 74% chance of beating Cirstea in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Pegula has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -4.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Sorana Cirstea +250, Jessica Pegula -292
- First Set: Pegula -227, Cirstea +175
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Pegula @ -292 via DraftKings
- First Set: Cirstea @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea is scheduled to start on Sunday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jessica Pegula vs. Sorana Cirstea
- Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jessica Pegula, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Sorana Cirstea at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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