Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 29, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns in of the NHL at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Maple Leafs and Lightning, made the NHL Playoffs 2023, which consists of 4 rounds – the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to 4 wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers' top betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Maple Leafs-Lightning NHL Playoffs matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, can't split the two teams, giving both the Maple Leafs and Lightning a 50% chance of winning the game.

More: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Simulated 10K Times

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Current Odds

• Moneyline: Lightning -110, Maple Leafs -105
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-110)

Moneyline and Over/Under

In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the Lightning and Maple Leafs are currently at minus-money betting odds on the moneyline.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -110. That means you can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -105, where you can risk $105 to win $100, for a total payout of $205, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -106, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

• Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a ** chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.8% chance of netting an anytime goal**.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 10.4% probability
• Mitchell Marner: 6.7% probability
• John Tavares: 5.1% probability
• William Nylander: 4.8% probability
• Michael Bunting: 3.9% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 7.1% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 7.0% probability
• Brayden Point: 6.3% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.8% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 3.5% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 47.8% probability
• Mitchell Marner: 35.3% probability
• John Tavares: 27.9% probability
• William Nylander: 26.7% probability
• Ryan O'Reilly: 21.5% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 35.5% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 35.0% probability
• Brayden Point: 33.9% probability
• Alex Killorn: 25.4% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 21.6% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for the latest betting insights ahead of Maple Leafs vs. Lightning on Saturday April 29, 2023.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Saturday's matchup between the Lightning and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Saturday April 29, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL Playoffs? Check out the top sports betting offers in your state. All of Dimers’ picks are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate predictions that can help you make informed decisions.

If you are planning to use our Maple Leafs vs. Lightning picks for your personal gambling, it is important that you practise responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want more NHL analysis like this?

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can publish the best NHL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

As well as NHL game picks and predicitons, we also provide the best NHL prop bets for today, with our projections for first and anytime goal scorers and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the NHL season.