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Rockets vs. Timberwolves prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Wednesday.
NBA action continues on Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET as the Houston Rockets take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Timberwolves game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu and Jaden McDaniels, while the Rockets will be led by Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Rockets and Timberwolves, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rockets a 60% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 113-110.
According to our model, the Rockets (-2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 223.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Rockets vs. Timberwolves odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +110 |
| Total | o223.5 (-106) | u223.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rockets -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Rockets | -125 |
| Total | Over 223.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Rockets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockets vs. Timberwolves player props
Betting on Rockets vs. Timberwolves NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Julius Randle is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Timberwolves.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 47 |
| Alperen Sengun | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 34 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Bones Hyland | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Naz Reid | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
Rockets vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Timberwolves and Rockets at Target Center is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Wednesday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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