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FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get FC Dallas vs Minnesota United predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Dallas and Minnesota will meet in MLS action at Toyota Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Dallas as the most likely winner of the Dallas vs. Minnesota game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Dallas and Minnesota, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 50.7% chance of Dallas winning, a 26.2% chance for Minnesota, and a 23.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Dallas | Minnesota | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +100 | +240 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas | +100 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +120 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dallas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DAL 1-1 MIN | 10.7% |
| DAL 2-1 MIN | 9.6% |
| DAL 1-0 MIN | 8.6% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between Dallas and Minnesota in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Jesús Ferreira (USA)
Dallas forward Jesús Ferreira is on the radar for USMNT fans this year as interest builds ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already driving heavy demand for World Cup predictions and early talk about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Ferreira's MLS form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Dallas has a 50.7% win probability on Wednesday, Minnesota has a 26.2% win probability, and there is a 23.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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