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Read Article Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Austin and Seattle will meet in MLS action at Q2 Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the Austin vs. Seattle game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS game between Austin and Seattle, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 35.1% chance of Austin winning, a 39.0% chance for Seattle, and a 25.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.3% chance of going over, according to our model.
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Austin | Seattle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +200 | +162 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Austin @ +200 via ESPN BET
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +115 via DraftKings
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AUS 1-1 SEA | 12.3% |
| AUS 0-1 SEA | 9.5% |
| AUS 1-0 SEA | 8.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between Austin and Seattle in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Q2 Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Austin has a 35.1% win probability on Wednesday, Seattle has a 39.0% win probability, and there is a 25.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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