Chicago vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. NY City MLS match on July 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Chicago
1
3
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
N. Mercau (10')
Soccer ball icon
A. Ojeda (29')
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M. Jones (41')
Soccer ball icon
J. Waterman (21')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces A. Ojeda
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: H. Wolf replaces Talles Magno
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces J. Shore
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    P. Dithejane (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Gutman replaces V. Radojevic
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces R. Lod
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: B. Traore replaces M. Jones
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
  10. 62'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mercau (New York City) cautioned
  11. 51'
    Yellow Card
    D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Lewandowski replaces M. Haile-Selassie
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
  14. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by M. Jones, assisted by A. Ojeda
    1-3
  15. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda, assisted by A. Perea
    1-2
  16. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Waterman
    1-1
  17. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
    0-1

Chicago vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +180, NY City +155, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-162/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 29.9%
  • NY City: 46.9%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 NY City (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Chicago vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.9%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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