Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. Dallas MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Minnesota
1
0
Apr 22, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Apr 22, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
A. Markanich (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces J. Pereyra
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Dieng replaces T. Chancalay
82'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: N. Simmonds replaces H. Johansson
73'
Yellow Card
N. Romero (Minnesota United) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces P. Musa
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Padelford replaces A. Markanich
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces K. Yeboah
62'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces S. Moreno
62'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces S. Ibeagha
61'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Ramiro replaces C. Cappis
56'
Yellow Card
N. Norris (FC Dallas) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
M. Duggan (Minnesota United) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
S. Moreno (FC Dallas) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich
1-0
4'
Yellow Card
A. Markanich (Minnesota United) cautioned

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Minnesota vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Dallas
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +250, Dallas +105, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 26.3%
  • Dallas: 50.7%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 1-1 Dallas (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Minnesota vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.7%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Minnesota vs. Dallas, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.