Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. Dallas MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Minnesota
1
0
Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
A. Markanich (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces J. Pereyra
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Dieng replaces T. Chancalay
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: N. Simmonds replaces H. Johansson
  4. 73'
    Yellow Card
    N. Romero (Minnesota United) cautioned
  5. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces P. Musa
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Padelford replaces A. Markanich
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces K. Yeboah
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces S. Moreno
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces S. Ibeagha
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: Ramiro replaces C. Cappis
  11. 56'
    Yellow Card
    N. Norris (FC Dallas) cautioned
  12. 49'
    Yellow Card
    M. Duggan (Minnesota United) cautioned
  13. 41'
    Yellow Card
    S. Moreno (FC Dallas) cautioned
  14. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich
    1-0
  15. 4'
    Yellow Card
    A. Markanich (Minnesota United) cautioned

Minnesota vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Dallas
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +250, Dallas +105, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 26.3%
  • Dallas: 50.7%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 1-1 Dallas (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Minnesota vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.7%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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