San Diego FC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. Houston MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
San Diego FC
0
1
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
I. Aliyu (35')
Soccer ball icon
O. Lingr (90')
Red Card icon
A. Pellegrino (79')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Sviatchenko replaces Felipe Andrade
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces O. Verhoeven
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Negri (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    I. Pilcher (San Diego FC) cautioned
  5. 90'
    Red Card
    O. Lingr (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 79'
    Red Card
    A. Pellegrino (San Diego FC) sent off with a straight red card
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Vazquez replaces O. Soe
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces A. Mighten
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces M. Bogusz
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces A. Bouzat
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Artur replaces D. Samassekou
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Ponce replaces Guilherme
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: M. Ingvartsen replaces A. Godoy
  14. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces L. Morgan
  15. 38'
    Yellow Card
    A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
  16. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by I. Aliyu, assisted by O. Lingr
    0-1
  17. 14'
    Yellow Card
    Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

San Diego FC vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Houston
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +260, Houston +100, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 29.9%
  • Houston: 46.5%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Diego FC 1-1 Houston (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win San Diego FC vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.5%.

The most likely correct score is San Diego FC 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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