CFB Computer Picks, Analysis and Prediction For Mississippi State vs. Alabama on October 22, 2022

Last updated: Dec 21, 2023, 3:19PM | Published: Oct 20, 2022, 3:15AM

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off a loss to the Tennessee Volunteers last week, so Nick Saban's team will be looking to get back in the win column against a very good Mississippi State Bulldogs program at 7:00PM ET on Saturday, October 22.

Will the Crimson Tide get back on track here? You might want to keep reading our Mississippi State vs. Alabama betting preview to find out.

If you’re looking to bet on college football, then you should consider signing up with DraftKings ➡️ here ⬅️ where you can turn a $5 moneyline bet on any game into a free $200 instantly if it hits. You know you’ll be on the couch watching the games anyway, so why not take this free money from one of the best sportsbooks on the planet?

Betting Hack: Use this trick to secure $200 in free bets from BetMGM

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Computer Picks

Predictive Analytics Data

88% chance Alabama wins on the moneyline
No edge on either team to cover the spread
No edge on Mississippi State vs. Alabama Over/Under 60.5

For the best CFB computer picks, check out our Mississippi State vs. Alabama. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Analysis

Why Mississippi State Will Cover The Spread

Alabama’s secondary was exploited last week against the potent Tennessee passing attack. Tennessee’s use of stacked formations set them up with matchup advantages. If Mississippi State can do the same, the Bulldogs should find success through the air. It also helps that Air Raid mastermind Mike Leach draws up plays.

The spread in this game is a big one. If Mississippi State can simply exploit its matchup advantage with its passing attack, the Bulldogs can cover this spread even if Alabama puts up points on offense. However, Mississippi State has only allowed more than 30 points once, so don’t expect Alabama to have an easy time on offense.

This spread just seems very big for the way the Tide are playing right now.

MORE: CFB Futures Probabilities

Why Alabama Will Cover The Spread

Saban-coached teams tend to bounce back after a loss. There is no doubt that Alabama is going through a rough week of practice to prepare for the Bulldogs. Saban typically doesn’t lose two straight games.

Despite Mississippi State having a good defense, Alabama has so many offensive weapons. Running back Jahmyr Gibbs is tough to stop. Quarterback Bryce Young can also take control of the game whenever he wants.

Alabama minus the points isn’t an outlandish pick. If the pass rush can get home on Mississippi State quarterback Will Rogers, the offense continues to roll, and Alabama limits the penalties, this could be a blowout.

Why The Over Will Hit

Both offenses should find success moving the football in this game. Mississippi State needs to expose the vulnerable Alabama secondary just like Tennessee did. Expect the Bulldogs offense to have a bounce back after a 17-point outing at Kentucky last Saturday. The Crimson Tide can move the football in so many different ways. It is super hard to stop the Alabama offense.

The point total is set at 60.5. The Bulldogs offense and Crimson Tide offense might be too good not to hit the Over.

Why The Under Will Hit

For the Under to hit, Alabama would have to force turnovers. That starts with the pass rush, led by Dallas Turner and Will Anderson. The Crimson Tide defense has 19 sacks this season, so this is a possibility.

Mississippi State would also need to find a way to apply constant pressure and get in the head of Young. Pass rush for both defenses will be key.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Prediction

Lean: Over 60.5

We really like both teams to light up the scoreboard, especially after Mississippi State had a bad offensive performance last week. Give us the Over as the best bet.

We strongly suggest taking this with the DraftKings bet $5 to get $200 offer mentioned at the top of this article because, even if the Over doesn't hit, new customers still get $200 just for joining and placing a successful $5 moneyline bet on the game. You can claim it ➡️ here ⬅️.

Betting Hack: Use this trick to secure $200 in free bets from BetMGM

🚨 CFB Betting Hack with BetMGM 🚨

Now, have we found a loophole for you! You see, BetMGM has launched another awesome 'Bet and Get' offer for new customers. Basically you will get $200 in bonuses to use on CFB (paid as 4x $50 bets!) from a simple $10 money line wager.

Here's the deal.. to score this $200 in bonuses we need to bet on .... wait for it... NHL. I know, I know.. so just hear us out here.

Bet $10 on any NHL moneyline (you can register here) and you will get 4x $50 free bets to use on CFB or NFL as soon as there's a goal in that game. This offer applies to ANY hockey game and the free bets will land in your account the second there's a goal scored in your game - the wager doesn't even need to win for you to walk away with $200. It's the closest thing to guaranteed cash there is.

It's an easy process and only takes a couple of minutes to do. To make it even easier, we've outlined the steps below:

Click here to create your BetMGM account

Enter the required info

Select your preferred deposit option

Make an initial deposit of $10 or more

Go to the NHL section

Put a $10 money line bet on any team

From there, the second that first goal is scored, you will get your $200 bonus paid straight into your account. BetMGM will pay out the bonus cash by giving you four $50 free bets to use on CFB or NFL or anything else you like.

Remember, you need to place a $10 moneyline bet on NHL to trigger these 4x $50 free bets to use on CFB or NFL.

Brendan Moore

Contributor

Brendan Moore is an expert in all things college football and basketball with bylines with Sidelines Sports Network and Spartans Illustrated, covering Michigan State collegiate sports.

On the socials