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CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union predictions for MLS Saturday.
Montreal will square off with Philadelphia in MLS action at Saputo Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner of the Montreal vs. Philadelphia.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Montreal and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 36.6% chance of Montreal winning, a 37.4% chance for Philadelphia, and a 26.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Montreal | Philadelphia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +145 | +185 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -125 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia | +185 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -115 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MTL 1-1 PHI | 12.4% |
| MTL 0-1 PHI | 9.3% |
| MTL 1-0 PHI | 9.2% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Montreal and Philadelphia in MLS at Saputo Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Saputo Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Caden Clark (USA)
Montreal attacking midfielder Caden Clark is firmly on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation builds as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Clark's club form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Montreal has a 36.6% win probability on Saturday, Philadelphia has a 37.4% win probability, and there is a 26.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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