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Philadelphia vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Montreal MLS game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Philadelphia
2
1
Apr 11, 6:30PM Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Apr 11, 6:30PM Saputo Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
Ivan Jaime (23')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sery Larsen (55')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bueno (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
85'
Yellow Card
B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces V. Loturi
82'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Opoku replaces F. Herbers
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: P. Ndinga replaces J. Sery Larsen
70'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces D. Thorhallsson
70'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: T. Aviles replaces E. Morales
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Bueno, assisted by E. Alladoh
2-1
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Bender
59'
Yellow Card
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Sery Larsen
1-1
45'
Yellow Card
J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
V. Loturi (CF Montreal) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
37'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces W. Carmona
23'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by Ivan Jaime, assisted by E. Morales
0-1
22'
Yellow Card
T. Gillier (CF Montreal) cautioned

Game Prediction Article

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Philadelphia vs. Montreal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +185, Montreal +150, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/+104)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 37.4%
  • Montreal: 36.6%
  • Draw: 26.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Philadelphia 1-1 Montreal, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Montreal a win probability of 36.6%, while Philadelphia has a win probability of 37.4%. The chance of a draw is 26.0%.

Summary

Our Philadelphia vs. Montreal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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