Philadelphia vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Montreal MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Philadelphia
2
1
Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
Ivan Jaime (23')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sery Larsen (55')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bueno (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
  3. 85'
    Yellow Card
    B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces V. Loturi
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Opoku replaces F. Herbers
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: P. Ndinga replaces J. Sery Larsen
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces D. Thorhallsson
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: T. Aviles replaces E. Morales
  10. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Bueno, assisted by E. Alladoh
    2-1
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Bender
  12. 59'
    Yellow Card
    O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  13. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Sery Larsen
    1-1
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  15. 43'
    Yellow Card
    V. Loturi (CF Montreal) cautioned
  16. 37'
    Yellow Card
    P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
  17. 37'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces W. Carmona
  18. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by Ivan Jaime, assisted by E. Morales
    0-1
  19. 22'
    Yellow Card
    T. Gillier (CF Montreal) cautioned

Philadelphia vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +185, Montreal +150, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 37.4%
  • Montreal: 36.6%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Montreal (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.4%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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