Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Mar 18, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Canadiens vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

Who will win Canadiens vs. Lightning?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Canadiens-Lightning NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lightning a 69% chance of beating the Canadiens.

More: Full Betting Guide for Canadiens vs. Lightning

Canadiens vs. Lightning Current Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (-120), Canadiens +1.5 (+105)
• Moneyline: Lightning -305, Canadiens +275
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+120)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are -1.5 favorites versus the Canadiens, with -120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +105.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -305. That means you can risk $305 to win $100, for a total payout of $405, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Canadiens at +275, where you can bet $100 to profit $275, earning a total payout of $375, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -124, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at +120.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Canadiens (+1.5) are a 52% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Canadiens vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 @ +105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Canadiens @ +275 via PointsBet (3.1% edge)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +120 via PointsBet (50% probability) 🔥

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best free picks today across all major pro and college sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Canadiens moneyline is the best option due to the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers.com is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Canadiens-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Canadiens and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Point an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 42.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Montreal Canadiens

• Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 5.2% probability
• Nick Suzuki: 4.7% probability
• Josh Anderson: 4.4% probability
• Mike Hoffman: 3.8% probability
• Denis Gurianov: 2.8% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 8.7% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 8.2% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 7.8% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.9% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.5% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Montreal Canadiens

• Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 28.6% probability
• Josh Anderson: 25.7% probability
• Nick Suzuki: 24.8% probability
• Mike Hoffman: 20.8% probability
• Denis Gurianov: 17.4% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 42.6% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 42.3% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 40.2% probability
• Alex Killorn: 27.2% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 25.0% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting insights before Canadiens vs. Lightning on Saturday March 18, 2023.

Canadiens vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Saturday's action between the Lightning and Canadiens at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Saturday March 18, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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