Ravens vs. Dolphins prediction: Why Baltimore is favored to win TNF Week 9, 2025

The Miami Dolphins will square off with the favored Baltimore Ravens in NFL Week 9 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Ravens vs. Dolphins game.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Ravens vs. Dolphins prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Ravens-Dolphins predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Ravens and Dolphins 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 73% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 28-21.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Ravens and Dolphins each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Ravens vs. Dolphins odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ravens	Dolphins
Spread	-7.5 (-118)	+7.5 (+100)
Moneyline	-450	+360
Total	o51.5 (-105)	u51.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ravens vs. Dolphins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Dolphins +7.5	+100
Moneyline	Dolphins	+360
Total	Under 51.5	-110

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins to win.

Ravens vs. Dolphins TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Dolphins?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime TD in Ravens vs. Dolphins.

Our projections give Henry a 64.4% chance of scoring a TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the running back is a 15.5% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	64.4%
Zay Flowers (WR)	38.3%
Mark Andrews (TE)	32.8%
Lamar Jackson (QB)	29.6%
Rashod Bateman (WR)	25.5%

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	53.9%
Jaylen Waddle (WR)	36.4%
Malik Washington (WR)	23.4%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	20.6%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (WR)	19.1%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	15.5%
Zay Flowers (WR)	7.3%
Mark Andrews (TE)	6.0%
Lamar Jackson (QB)	5.3%
Rashod Bateman (WR)	4.4%

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	12.7%
Jaylen Waddle (WR)	7.4%
Malik Washington (WR)	4.4%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	3.8%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (WR)	3.5%

Ravens vs Dolphins player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Dolphins. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 236 passing yards. The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 222 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Lamar Jackson (BAL)	236
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)	222

Ravens rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Derrick Henry	91
Lamar Jackson	42
Keaton Mitchell	15

Dolphins rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
De'Von Achane	58
Ollie Gordon	24
Jaylen Wright	7

Ravens receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Zay Flowers	73
Rashod Bateman	37
Mark Andrews	36
Isaiah Likely	28
DeAndre Hopkins	23

Dolphins receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Jaylen Waddle	71
Malik Washington	38
De'Von Achane	36
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	25
Tanner Conner	18

Ravens vs. Dolphins game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 9 action between the Dolphins and Ravens at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Week 9 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ravens vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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