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Hawks vs. Pistons prediction: Detroit favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Detroit Pistons will take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Pistons as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Pistons game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pistons lineup will feature players like Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins and Tobias Harris, while the Hawks will rely on Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Pistons prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Hawks and Pistons, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Pistons a 58% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Pistons winning 115-113.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Hawks and Pistons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 230.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Pistons odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2 (-110) | -2 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +125 | -140 |
| Total | o230.5 (-105) | u230.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Pistons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pistons -2 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pistons | -140 |
| Total | Under 230.5 | -114 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Pistons to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Pistons player props
Betting on Hawks vs. Pistons NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Little Caesars Arena.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 23 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jalen Duren is projected to have 22 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists for the Pistons.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 52 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| CJ McCollum | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Dyson Daniels | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 31 |
Pistons prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pistons:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 45 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 16 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 36 |
| Tobias Harris | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Duncan Robinson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
| Ausar Thompson | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
Hawks vs. Pistons game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Pistons and Hawks at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Detroit Pistons
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Pistons, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Wednesday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Pistons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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