Magic vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Magic vs. Cavaliers NBA game on January 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Magic
98
114
Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Rocket Arena
TEAM1234T
Magic
32 24 25 17 98
Cavaliers
22 39 30 23 114
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Magic
    <1%
  • Cavaliers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Magic
32 24 25 17 98
Cavaliers
22 39 30 23 114
Q4 00:44 Magic misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Magic makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Magic misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Magic misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:26 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:30 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:19 Magic makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:23 Magic misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:29 Magic misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:38 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:44
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:48
    Magic personal foul
  4. Q4 00:48
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
  5. Q4 1:00
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    98-112
  6. Q4 1:25
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  7. Q4 1:38
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    96-109
  8. Q4 1:57
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  9. Q4 2:10
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  10. Q4 2:12
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 2:26
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  12. Q4 2:32
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  13. Q4 2:55
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  14. Q4 2:55
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs)
  15. Q4 2:55
    +1
    Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-108
  16. Q4 3:07
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  17. Q4 4:16
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  18. Q4 4:29
    +1
    Dean Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-104
  19. Q4 4:48
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  20. Q4 5:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  21. Q4 5:30
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 5:57
    Tristan da Silva defensive rebound
  23. Q4 6:19
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    91-102
  24. Q4 6:23
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 6:29
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 7:02
    Magic personal foul
  27. Q4 7:02
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
  28. Q4 7:17
    Cavaliers turnover
  29. Q4 7:38
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    87-100
  30. Q4 7:53
    Magic turnover
  31. Q4 8:04
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 8:04
    Anthony Black defensive rebound
  33. Q4 8:42
    Jonathan Isaac defensive rebound
  34. Q4 8:45
    Magic personal foul
  35. Q4 8:45
    Instant replay
  36. Q4 8:45
    Magic lineup change (Jonathan Isaac, Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black)
  37. Q4 8:45
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-97
  38. Q4 9:15
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 9:34
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  40. Q4 9:34
    Cavaliers turnover
  41. Q4 9:58
    Jalen Suggs defensive rebound
  42. Q4 10:04
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  43. Q4 10:06
    Jalen Suggs offensive rebound
  44. Q4 10:09
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  45. Q4 10:53
    Magic turnover
  46. Q4 11:01
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 11:07
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  48. Q4 11:21
    Cavaliers personal foul
  49. Q4 11:21
    +1
    Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-93
  50. Q4 11:21
    Desmond Bane misses two point jump shot
  51. Q4 11:38
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    81-93
  52. Q3 00:00
    Magic offensive rebound
  53. Q4 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Donovan Mitchell, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
  54. Q3 00:02
    Magic personal foul
  55. Q3 00:02
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Lonzo Ball, Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade)
  56. Q3 00:02
    +1
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    81-91
  57. Q3 00:21
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  58. Q3 00:29
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  59. Q3 00:32
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  60. Q3 00:43
    Cavaliers personal foul
  61. Q3 1:06
    +1
    Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-89
  62. Q3 1:06
    Paolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  63. Q3 1:25
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  64. Q3 1:45
    Moritz Wagner defensive rebound
  65. Q3 1:47
    Magic personal foul
  66. Q3 1:47
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  67. Q3 2:15
    Magic defensive rebound
  68. Q3 2:15
    Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Paolo Banchero, Moritz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Tyus Jones)
  69. Q3 2:23
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  70. Q3 2:47
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    77-86
  71. Q3 2:52
    Magic turnover
  72. Q3 3:04
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  73. Q3 3:17
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  74. Q3 3:31
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Craig Porter Jr., Lonzo Ball, Jarrett Allen)
  75. Q3 3:32
    +3
    Magic makes three point jump shot
    77-84
  76. Q3 3:37
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  77. Q3 3:56
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    74-84
  78. Q3 4:15
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    72-84
  79. Q3 4:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    70-82
  80. Q3 5:24
    Noah Penda defensive rebound
  81. Q3 5:28
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  82. Q3 5:37
    +2
    Desmond Bane makes two point jump shot
    70-79
  83. Q3 5:59
    +3
    Jaylon Tyson makes three point jump shot (Craig Porter Jr. assists)
    68-79
  84. Q3 6:29
    Magic offensive rebound
  85. Q3 6:31
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  86. Q3 6:49
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  87. Q3 7:02
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  88. Q3 7:05
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 7:20
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Anthony Black, Tyus Jones)
  90. Q3 7:39
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  91. Q3 8:06
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    68-76
  92. Q3 8:15
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  93. Q3 8:18
    Paolo Banchero offensive rebound
  94. Q3 8:32
    Magic personal foul
  95. Q3 8:32
    Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  96. Q3 8:32
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-74
  97. Q3 9:24
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    62-71
  98. Q3 9:36
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  99. Q3 9:47
    Paolo Banchero offensive rebound
  100. Q3 10:09
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  101. Q3 10:35
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    60-67
  102. Q3 10:43
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  103. Q3 10:57
    Magic personal foul
  104. Q3 11:40
    Cavaliers personal foul
  105. Q3 11:43
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    58-61
  106. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    56-61
  107. Q3 12:00
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs)
  108. Q2 00:07
    Magic turnover
  109. Q2 00:07
    Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Anthony Black)
  110. Q2 00:44
    Cavaliers personal foul
  111. Q2 00:44
    Magic offensive rebound
  112. Q2 00:44
    +1
    Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-56
  113. Q2 00:52
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    55-56
  114. Q2 1:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  115. Q2 1:02
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  116. Q2 1:08
    Magic offensive rebound
  117. Q2 1:16
    Cavaliers personal foul
  118. Q2 1:16
    Magic offensive rebound
  119. Q2 1:16
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade)
  120. Q2 1:32
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    54-54
  121. Q2 1:32
    +1
    Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    55-54
  122. Q2 1:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    52-54
  123. Q2 1:49
    Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  124. Q2 2:03
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  125. Q2 2:14
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  126. Q2 2:36
    Cavaliers personal foul
  127. Q2 2:36
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  128. Q2 2:36
    Cavaliers challenge timeout
  129. Q2 2:39
    Dean Wade offensive rebound
  130. Q2 2:56
    Magic personal foul
  131. Q2 2:56
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    52-50
  132. Q2 3:26
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    49-49
  133. Q2 3:41
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 3:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  135. Q2 4:01
    Anthony Black defensive rebound
  136. Q2 4:13
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    49-47
  137. Q2 4:20
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  138. Q2 4:37
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
  139. Q2 4:37
    Cavaliers personal foul
  140. Q2 4:49
    Anthony Black turnover (lost ball)
  141. Q2 4:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  142. Q2 4:56
    Anthony Black defensive rebound
  143. Q2 5:04
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  144. Q2 5:13
    Cavaliers personal foul
  145. Q2 5:41
    +3
    Magic makes three point jump shot
    47-45
  146. Q2 6:01
    Magic turnover
  147. Q2 6:29
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    44-41
  148. Q2 6:56
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  149. Q2 7:16
    Magic 60 second timeout
  150. Q2 7:16
    Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Lonzo Ball, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Dean Wade)
  151. Q2 7:20
    Magic turnover
  152. Q2 7:43
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    42-36
  153. Q2 7:52
    Donovan Mitchell misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  154. Q2 8:06
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    42-33
  155. Q2 8:34
    Magic turnover
  156. Q2 8:37
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Donovan Mitchell, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen)
  157. Q2 9:01
    Jase Richardson shooting foul
  158. Q2 9:01
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Moritz Wagner, Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs)
  159. Q2 9:01
    Magic violation
  160. Q2 9:10
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    40-30
  161. Q2 9:15
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  162. Q2 9:22
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  163. Q2 9:53
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
  164. Q2 10:03
    Desmond Bane defensive rebound
  165. Q2 10:06
    Magic personal foul
  166. Q2 10:06
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  167. Q2 10:23
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    35-27
  168. Q2 10:52
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    32-25
  169. Q2 11:08
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  170. Q2 11:25
    Evan Mobley misses two point jump shot
  171. Q2 11:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q2 11:37
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  173. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    32-22
  174. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Larry Nance Jr., Donovan Mitchell, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley)
  175. Q1 00:05
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  176. Q1 00:10
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses two point layup
  177. Q1 00:21
    Desmond Bane offensive rebound
  178. Q1 00:21
    Magic offensive rebound
  179. Q1 00:21
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Lonzo Ball, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
  180. Q1 00:22
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  181. Q1 00:38
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    30-22
  182. Q1 00:58
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    30-20
  183. Q1 1:05
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  184. Q1 1:09
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  185. Q1 1:24
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  186. Q1 1:36
    Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
  187. Q1 1:42
    Noah Penda offensive rebound
  188. Q1 1:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  189. Q1 2:00
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  190. Q1 2:09
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  191. Q1 2:18
    Magic 60 second timeout
  192. Q1 2:28
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
  193. Q1 2:44
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  194. Q1 3:02
    Cavaliers personal foul
  195. Q1 3:02
    Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Paolo Banchero, Moritz Wagner, Anthony Black, Tyus Jones)
  196. Q1 3:02
    +1
    Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-20
  197. Q1 3:10
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  198. Q1 3:42
    Cavaliers turnover
  199. Q1 3:50
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  200. Q1 3:59
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  201. Q1 4:15
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  202. Q1 4:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  203. Q1 4:45
    Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Craig Porter Jr., Lonzo Ball, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
  204. Q1 4:46
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  205. Q1 5:19
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    22-16
  206. Q1 5:33
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  207. Q1 5:58
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    18-16
  208. Q1 6:03
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  209. Q1 6:33
    +3
    Magic makes three point jump shot
    18-12
  210. Q1 6:46
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    15-12
  211. Q1 7:28
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    13-10
  212. Q1 7:34
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  213. Q1 7:42
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  214. Q1 8:20
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  215. Q1 8:30
    Cavaliers turnover
  216. Q1 8:55
    Magic personal foul
  217. Q1 8:55
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-7
  218. Q1 9:20
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    5-5
  219. Q1 9:25
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  220. Q1 9:51
    Cavaliers turnover
  221. Q1 10:14
    Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
  222. Q1 10:27
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  223. Q1 10:40
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  224. Q1 10:51
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  225. Q1 11:21
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  226. Q1 11:38
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  227. Q1 12:00
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs)
  228. Q1 12:00
    (Evan Mobley gains possession)
Box Score
Magic
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

Magic vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Magic vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Magic +180, Cavaliers -205

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Magic: 36%
  • Cavaliers: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Magic 109-113 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Magic a win probability of 36%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Magic in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Magic vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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